Tebon Securities·2025-08-04 06:56Investment Strategy - The explosive demand for computing power is driving a significant increase in capital expenditures (capex), with infrastructure construction expected to enter a golden period. Major companies like Microsoft and Meta are reporting substantial profit and capex growth, indicating a high level of activity in the computing power industry. For instance, Microsoft's net profit for Q2 was $27.23 billion, a 24% year-on-year increase, while its capital expenditure rose by 27% to $24.2 billion. Meta's net profit grew by 36% to $18.34 billion, with projected capital expenditures for 2025 reaching between $66 billion and $72 billion [4][10][14]. - The token economy's business model is being validated, with domestic demand for computing power expected to accelerate. Alphabet reported processing over 980 trillion tokens monthly, with ChatGPT's weekly active users surpassing 700 million. The weekly token consumption for large models has seen a nearly fivefold increase from January to July 2025 [11][12]. - The "AI+" policy is catalyzing growth in industry applications. The Chinese government is actively promoting the commercialization of AI, with local policies supporting the expansion of AI applications. For example, Shanghai has issued measures including the distribution of 600 million yuan in computing power vouchers [12][15]. Industry News - Major overseas companies are experiencing significant growth in performance and capital expenditure. Microsoft's Q2 revenue reached $76.44 billion, an 18% year-on-year increase, while Meta's revenue was $47.52 billion, up 22%. Both companies attribute their growth to the deep application of AI technology [14]. - The State Council of China has approved the "AI+" action plan, emphasizing the need for large-scale commercialization of AI applications. This policy aims to leverage China's complete industrial system and large market scale to promote AI integration across various sectors [15]. - The rapid launch of satellites indicates an acceleration in satellite internet construction in China. Recent successful launches of low-orbit satellites demonstrate the country's commitment to enhancing broadband communication services [16][17]. - Eight major banks have jointly released financial service products for the "AI+ manufacturing" sector, with a commitment to provide at least 400 billion yuan in credit by the end of 2027. This initiative aims to support the intelligent transformation of manufacturing enterprises [18]. Weekly Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a 4.12% increase this week, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.57%. Notable gains were observed in optical modules and optical communication sectors, with increases of 9.86% and 5.29%, respectively [19][21]. - The focus for the upcoming week includes investment opportunities in the AIDC chain and related sectors, with companies such as ZTE Corporation and Inspur Information being highlighted for potential growth [23].