HIKVISION(SZ:002415) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-04 07:48Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's main products and services have seen a year-on-year increase in gross margin, indicating a shift towards high-quality development. In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 41.818 billion yuan (YoY +1.48%) and a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan (YoY +11.71%) with a gross margin of 45.19% (YoY +0.35pct) [1] - Despite a decline in domestic revenue, the company has implemented a tiered management approach to product lines, resulting in a significant improvement in gross margin for its main products and services, which reached 48.52% (YoY +2.19pct) [2] - The overseas and innovative businesses continue to grow, accounting for approximately 57% of total revenue in 1H25, with overseas revenue increasing by 6.9% YoY and innovative business revenue rising by 13.92% YoY [3] - The company is expected to benefit from long-term growth driven by operational improvements and industry intelligence, with adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 reflecting a slight increase in gross margin and a decrease in expense ratio [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported a revenue of 41.818 billion yuan and a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 45.19% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 23.286 billion yuan (YoY -0.45%) and a net profit of 3.619 billion yuan (YoY +14.94%, QoQ +77.5%) [1] - The company’s domestic main business revenue was 17.821 billion yuan in 1H25, down 8.33% YoY, but the gross margin improved significantly [2] Business Segments - The company’s overseas revenue in 1H25 was 12.231 billion yuan, up 6.9% YoY, while innovative business revenue reached 11.766 billion yuan, up 13.92% YoY [3] - The innovative business includes segments such as Hikvision Robotics and Hikvision Automotive Electronics, which have shown substantial growth [3] Profit Forecasts - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 13.523 billion yuan, 14.868 billion yuan, and 16.872 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.9, 18.1, and 15.9 [4][5]