Guoxin Securities·2025-08-04 08:21Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [5][39]. Core Views - The media sector has shown a positive performance with a 1.11% increase, outperforming both the CSI 300 (-1.75%) and the ChiNext Index (-0.74%) during the week [12][39]. - The report highlights the significant box office performance during the summer season, with total box office exceeding 60 billion yuan, led by the film "Nanjing Photo Studio" [2][19]. - The report emphasizes the upward trend in the performance cycle, particularly in AI applications and IP-driven products, suggesting a favorable outlook for the industry [4][39]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector's performance for the week (July 28 - August 1) was an increase of 1.11%, ranking third among all sectors [12][14]. - Notable gainers included Guomai Culture, Yidian Tianxia, Shanghai Film, and Beijing Culture, while losers included Lansheng Co., Xinhua Media, and ST Fanli [12][39]. Key Highlights - ChinaJoy opened with high attendance, featuring 743 participating companies, of which 31.8% were foreign [2][18]. - The gaming sector is highlighted with the release of new AI functionalities and models, such as Grok's "Imagine" feature and Kimi K2 Turbo, which significantly improved output speed [2][16][17]. - The report tracks significant box office data, with "Nanjing Photo Studio" leading with a box office of 10.23 billion yuan, accounting for 62.9% of the total for the week [3][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as gaming, advertising media, and film, with specific stock recommendations including Kaiying Network, Giant Network, and Yaoji Technology [4][39]. - It also highlights the potential in high-dividend, low-valuation state-owned publishing sectors and the growing demand for IP-driven products and AI applications [4][39]. Company Earnings Forecasts - Key companies such as Kaiying Network, Fenzhong Media, and Mango Super Media are rated as "Outperform" with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth for 2025 and 2026 [5][42].