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环球市场动态:美国7月份非农仅增7.3万
citic securities·2025-08-04 08:58

Economic Data - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for July increased by only 73,000, significantly below the expected 104,000, indicating a weakening labor market[6] - The downward revision of previous months' data totaled nearly 260,000, raising concerns about the quality of non-farm data[6] Market Reactions - U.S. stock markets experienced a sharp decline, with the Dow Jones falling 1.23% to 43,588.6, the S&P 500 down 1.60% to 6,238.0, and the Nasdaq dropping 2.24% to 20,650.1[11] - European markets also faced significant losses, with the Stoxx 600 index plunging 1.89% amid fears of a global economic slowdown due to new tariffs announced by President Trump[11] Currency and Commodities - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.8% to 99.14, while international gold prices rose over 1%[4] - International oil prices dropped sharply, with WTI crude oil down 2.8% to $67.33 per barrel, reflecting concerns over demand growth[31] Fixed Income Market - U.S. Treasury yields saw a significant decline, with the 2-year yield dropping 27.5 basis points to 3.68%, as market expectations for a Fed rate cut in September surged to 90%[34] - Asian bond markets showed weakness, with spreads widening by 1-3 basis points, particularly in the Chinese bond market[34] Sector Performance - In the U.S., 8 out of 11 S&P sectors declined, with the consumer discretionary sector leading the losses, down 3.59%[11] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.07%, marking its fourth consecutive decline, with technology stocks underperforming[13]