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稳固优化:中国权益仍具备上行动能
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-04 12:27

Group 1 - The report maintains a tactical asset allocation view, recommending an overweight in A-shares and US stocks, a neutral position in RMB, and an underweight in oil [1][15][16] - A-shares are expected to perform well due to improving economic sentiment, strong government support for capital markets, stable market liquidity, and an improving micro trading structure [15][16] - The US stock market is viewed positively despite recent employment data revisions, with expectations of continued resilience in the economy [15][16] Group 2 - The report highlights that the oil market remains under pressure from both supply and demand sides, leading to a tactical underweight recommendation for oil [15][16] - The RMB is expected to maintain stability and appreciate due to the resilient growth momentum of the Chinese economy compared to other major economies [15][17] - The tactical asset allocation strategy reflects expectations of high risk-return ratios for Chinese equities and US stocks, while suggesting a cautious approach towards oil investments [15][16][17]