光伏行业周报（20250728-20250803）：8月硅料排产预计环增，组件排产或小幅环降-20250804

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the solar industry [6] Core Viewpoints - August silicon material production is expected to increase month-on-month, while module production may see a slight decrease [12][13] - The price of silicon materials has shown a narrowing increase, with N-type recycled material averaging 47,100 CNY/ton, up 0.64% month-on-month, and N-type granular silicon at 44,300 CNY/ton, up 0.68% month-on-month [12][13] - The solar glass inventory has decreased, leading to expectations of price increases for new orders in August [14] Summary by Sections 1. August Production Expectations - Silicon material production is projected to increase by approximately 16% month-on-month, reaching around 125,000 tons [12] - Module production is expected to slightly decline due to cost pressures and cautious sentiment from downstream enterprises [13] 2. Market Review - The industry experienced a 0.46% decline in the comprehensive index, with the electric equipment sector down 2.62% [18] - The top-performing sectors included pharmaceuticals and communications, while real estate and metals faced significant declines [18] 3. Price Trends in the Solar Industry - Silicon material prices: Dense silicon at 44.00 CNY/kg, up 4.76% month-on-month; granular silicon remains stable [42] - Silicon wafer prices: N-type wafers range from 1.20 to 1.55 CNY/piece, with increases of 6.9% to 9.1% month-on-month [42] - Battery prices: TOPCon battery prices increased by 5.6% to 7.4% month-on-month, with current prices at 0.285 to 0.290 CNY/W [47] - Module prices: TOPCon dual-glass modules priced at 0.685 CNY/W, with a slight increase of 0.7% month-on-month [47] - Solar glass prices remain stable, with 3.2mm coated glass priced at 18-19 CNY/m² [55] 4. Industry Valuation - The current PE (TTM) for the electric equipment sector is 26x, with the solar equipment sector at 19x [30][33] - The valuation percentile for the electric equipment sector is 25.3%, while the solar equipment sector is at 17.8% [34][39]