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化工行业周报20250803:国际油价上涨,环氧丙烷、纯MDI价格上涨-20250805
Bank of China Securities·2025-08-05 01:28

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperforming the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the impact of rising international oil prices on the prices of epoxy propane and pure MDI, suggesting a focus on mid-year report trends, the influence of "anti-involution" on supply in related sub-industries, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials companies [1][8] - It recommends a long-term investment strategy centered on the sustained high demand in the oil and gas extraction sector, the rapid development of downstream industries, and the recovery of demand supported by policy [1][8] Industry Dynamics - As of August 3, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the SW basic chemical sector is 24.08, at the 78.12 percentile historically, while the price-to-book ratio is 2.04, at the 40.81 percentile historically [1][8] - The SW oil and petrochemical sector has a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 11.00, at the 17.99 percentile historically, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.15, at the 20.31 percentile historically [1][8] - The report notes significant impacts from tariff policies and fluctuations in oil prices on the industry this year [1][8] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with stable dividend policies in the energy sector, as well as those in the electronic materials sector that are increasingly important for self-sufficiency [1][8] - It identifies key investment themes, including the high profitability of the oil and gas extraction sector, the growth potential in new materials, and the resilience of leading companies in the face of policy-driven demand recovery [1][8] Price Changes and Market Trends - In the week of July 28 to August 3, 39 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 31 experienced declines, and 30 remained stable [7][32] - The average price of epoxy propane increased by 7.47% to 7,925 CNY/ton, while pure MDI rose by 4.76% to 17,600 CNY/ton [2][32] - The report notes that the average price of lithium carbonate for battery-grade increased by 15.68% compared to July 1, reaching 71,333.33 CNY/ton [32]