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北汽蓝谷(600733):公司动态研究报告:享界与极狐双品牌协同发展,牵手华为高端乘用车市场突破可期

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is transitioning from a sales champion to a technology pioneer in the electric vehicle market, having established itself as China's first independent electric vehicle manufacturer through its subsidiary, BAIC New Energy [1] - The collaboration with Huawei aims to develop next-generation intelligent connected electric vehicle technologies, with the first model, the Xiangjie S9, set to launch in August 2024 [1][3] - The company is focusing on the synergistic development of its two brands, Xiangjie and Arcfox, to create a diversified product matrix that includes high-end, mid-range, and mass-market vehicles [2] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 2009, the company has shifted its strategic focus towards high-end intelligent electric vehicles since its major restructuring in 2018 [1] - The company has signed a cooperation agreement with Huawei to jointly develop advanced vehicle technologies [1] Brand Development - The company is developing a diversified product matrix with three product lines: Arcfox Alpha (mid to high-end), Arcfox Beta (mass market), and Xiangjie (luxury) [2] - The Arcfox brand has seen significant sales growth, with 2024 sales expected to reach 113,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, and Arcfox sales projected at 81,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 169.9% [2] Product Launches - The Xiangjie S9, a luxury intelligent electric vehicle, will be priced starting at 399,800 yuan, aiming to compete with established luxury brands [3] - The launch of the Xiangjie S9 range-extended version in April 2025 is expected to alleviate consumer range anxiety and boost sales [3] Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 14.512 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.4%, but reported a net loss of 6.948 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 28.7% [8] - The introduction of the Xiangjie S9 range-extended version is anticipated to improve the company's profitability [3][8] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 32.23 billion yuan, 48.26 billion yuan, and 74.16 billion yuan, respectively, with expected EPS of -1.0, -0.4, and 0.2 yuan [9] - The company is expected to improve its profitability as it expands its product matrix and enhances its market presence in the high-end electric vehicle segment [9]