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聚酯数据日报-20250805
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-08-05 09:29

Report Summary Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The overall market sentiment for bulk chemicals is weak due to the decline in crude oil prices. The PTA market shows a weakening spot basis and falling spot prices, while the ethylene glycol market experiences a slight decline in spot prices and a slightly stronger basis negotiation. The polyester market has weakening production and sales, and the downstream weaving profit is shrinking, which has a certain negative impact on the market [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Quotes - INE Crude Oil: The price dropped from 527.9 yuan/barrel on August 1st to 514.3 yuan/barrel on August 4th, a decrease of 13.6 yuan [2]. - PTA: The主力期 price decreased from 4744 yuan/ton to 4698 yuan/ton, a drop of 46 yuan; the spot price fell from 4750 yuan/ton to 4690 yuan/ton, a decrease of 60 yuan. The spot processing fee decreased slightly by 0.4 yuan/ton, and the disk processing fee increased by 3.6 yuan/ton. The PTA - SC spread increased by 52.83 yuan/ton, and the PTA/SC ratio increased by 0.0204. The PTA warehouse receipt quantity decreased by 600 to 27131 [2]. - PX: The CFR China PX price decreased from 846 to 838, a drop of 8; the PX - naphtha spread decreased by 8 to 234. The PX operating rate increased by 0.82 percentage points to 78.11% [2]. - MEG: The主力期 price dropped from 4405 yuan/ton to 4389 yuan/ton, a decrease of 16 yuan; the MEG - naphtha spread increased slightly by 0.8 yuan/ton. The MEG domestic price decreased from 4480 to 4455, a drop of 25 yuan. The basis of the main contract increased by 15 to 78. The MEG operating rate remained unchanged at 58.81% [2]. Polyester Products - Polyester Filament: The prices of POY150D/48F, FDY150D/96F decreased by 25 yuan and 70 yuan respectively, while the price of DTY150D/48F remained unchanged. The cash flows of POY, DTY improved by 35 yuan and 60 yuan respectively, and the cash flow of FDY decreased by 10 yuan. The production and sales rate of filament increased from 25% to 32% [2]. - Polyester Staple Fiber: The price of 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber decreased by 25 yuan to 6575 yuan/ton. The cash flow increased by 35 yuan to 173 yuan/ton, and the production and sales rate decreased from 56% to 49% [2]. - Polyester Chips: The price of semi - bright chips decreased by 45 yuan to 5800 yuan/ton. The cash flow increased by 15 yuan to - 52 yuan/ton, and the production and sales rate increased from 59% to 63% [2]. Industry Operating Conditions - The PTA operating rate increased by 2.75 percentage points to 76.81%, the MEG operating rate remained unchanged at 58.81%, and the polyester load remained unchanged at 86.15% [2]. Device Maintenance - A 7.2 - million - ton PTA device of a supplier in East China reduced its load to 80 - 90% last night, and the recovery time depends on the raw material logistics situation [2].