航运衍生品数据日报-20250805

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The market is in a state of shock, mainly due to the increase in over - capacity during the off - season caused by overtime ships, leading to a lower opening of the main contract [6]. - Spot prices have peaked. Quotes started to weaken in early August, and this will drive prices in late August to decline. It is expected that spot prices will peak at the end of July and early August, then slowly decline until late August when the decline rate will intensify. The main focus of the 10 - contract is the decline rate of freight rates from August to October [7]. - The recommended strategy is to short the 10 - contract on rallies (profits can be taken as there has been a significant recent correction), and hold the 12 - 4 calendar spread [8]. Group 3: Summary Based on Related Contents Shipping Freight Index - Shanghai Export Container Freight Composite Index (SCFI): The current value is 1551, the previous value was 1593, with a decline of 2.63% [3][4]. - China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI): The current value is 1233, the previous value was 1261, with a decline of 2.27% [3][4]. - SCFI - US West Coast: The current value is 2021, the previous value was 2067, with a decline of 2.23% [3][4]. - SCFIS - US West Coast: The current value is 1130, the previous value was 1284, with a sharp decline of 11.99% [3][4]. - SCFI - US East Coast: The current value is 3126, the previous value was 3378, with a decline of 7.46% [3][4]. - SCFI - Northwest Europe: The current value is 2051, the previous value was 2090, with a decline of 1.87% [3][4]. - SCFIS - Northwest Europe: The current value is 2297, the previous value was 2316, with a decline of 0.82% [3][4]. - SCFI - Mediterranean: The current value is 2333, the previous value was 2418, with a decline of 3.52% [3][4]. EC Contracts Price - EC2506: The current value is 1453.2, the previous value was 1465.1, with a decline of 0.81% [3][4]. - EC2508: The current value is 2122.3, the previous value was 2126.5, with a decline of 0.20% [3][4]. - EC2510: The current value is 1421.8, the previous value was 1424.0, with a decline of 0.15% [3][4]. - EC2512: The current value is 1677.2, the previous value was 1692.4, with a decline of 0.90% [3][4]. - EC5602: The current value is 1470.2, the previous value was 1490.0, with a decline of 1.33% [3][4]. - EC2604: The current value is 1315.1, the previous value was 1325.0, with a decline of 0.75% [3][4]. Position - EC2606 Position: The current value is 795, the same as the previous value, with a change of 0 [3][4]. - EC2508 Position: The current value is 4367, the previous value was 4465, with a decline of 98 [3][4]. - EC2410 Position: The current value is 51053, the previous value was 52376, with a decline of 1323 [3][4]. - EC2412 Position: The current value is 8387, the previous value was 8440, with a decline of 53 [3][4]. - EC2602 Position: The current value is 4139, the previous value was 4142, with a decline of 3 [3][4]. - EC2604 Position: The current value is 5146, the previous value was 5112, with an increase of 34 [3][4]. Monthly Spread - 10 - 12 Spread: The current value is - 255.4, the previous value was - 268.4, with an increase of 13.0 [3][4]. - 12 - 2 Spread: The current value is 207.0, the previous value was 202.4, with an increase of 4.6 [3][4]. - 12 - 4 Spread: The current value is 362.1, the previous value was 367.4, with a decline of 5.3 [3][4].