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东兴证券晨报-20250805
Dongxing Securities·2025-08-05 10:49

Economic News - The Ministry of Commerce reported that China's service trade import and export totaled 38,872.6 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 8.0% [1] - The China Logistics and Purchasing Federation announced that the logistics industry prosperity index for July was 50.5, indicating continued expansion but a slight slowdown in growth [1] - The People's Bank of China and six other departments stated that by 2027, the financial system supporting the high-end, intelligent, and green development of manufacturing will be basically mature [1] - The National Healthcare Security Administration announced that 55 types of drugs will be included in the 11th batch of centralized procurement, with rational bidding from enterprises [1] - The Supreme People's Court reported that 1,156 cases of medical insurance fraud were concluded in 2024, recovering over 400 million yuan in losses [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange revealed that the number of new A-share accounts in July increased by 71% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in the A-share market [1] Company News - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation plans to absorb and merge China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Company, leading to the latter's delisting [5] - Green通科技 intends to use 45,040 million yuan of raised funds to acquire a 46.92% stake and invest 8,000 million yuan in Damo Semiconductor, resulting in a 51% stake in the company [5] - Shanghai Washba established a joint venture with Yuyuan Rare Earth New Materials Co., with a registered capital of 200 million yuan [5] - Maiwei Bio's chairman received an administrative penalty from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected short-term trading [5] Bond Market Analysis - The Ministry of Finance announced that starting August 8, 2025, interest income from newly issued government bonds will be subject to VAT, reversing previous exemptions [7] - The policy aims to narrow the tax burden differences in the bond market and is expected to help alleviate fiscal pressure, as public budget revenue decreased by 0.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year [8] - The impact of the VAT restoration on 10-year government bonds is estimated to be around 10 basis points for self-operated accounts and 5 basis points for asset management products [9] - The new tax policy may lead to a widening of the yield spread between new and old bonds, with credit bonds potentially becoming more attractive [10] - The bond market is expected to experience fluctuations in the short term, with a projected yield range of 1.6% to 1.8% [12]