SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-08-05 13:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the military industry, emphasizing investment opportunities related to the upcoming military parade, military trade, industry recovery, and the new combat capabilities outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][51]. Core Insights - The report identifies four main investment themes: the upcoming military parade commemorating the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War, the acceleration of China's military trade, the anticipated recovery in industry prosperity, and the focus on new combat capabilities during the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2][11][19]. - Historical data shows that previous military parades in 2015 and 2019 led to significant excess returns in the military sector, with maximum absolute returns of 84.8% and 46.0%, respectively [3][21][30]. - Recent geopolitical events, such as the India-Pakistan conflict, have increased military trade demand and highlighted the performance of Chinese military equipment, further boosting the military sector's market value [4][35][37]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The report highlights the significance of the military parade on September 3, 2025, which will showcase advanced military technologies, including unmanned systems and cyber warfare capabilities, potentially catalyzing the military sector's growth [2][11]. - It notes the increasing profitability of Chinese military enterprises as military trade expands, with gross margins of key players like North Industries and AVIC showing promising trends compared to their U.S. counterparts [2][13]. - The report anticipates a sustained high level of orders for military enterprises in the second half of the year, indicating a positive industry outlook [2][15]. Historical Review - The report reviews the performance of the military sector during the 2015 and 2019 parades, noting substantial returns driven by market enthusiasm for military capabilities [3][21][30]. - It emphasizes that the military sector has consistently outperformed broader market indices during these periods, indicating a strong correlation between military events and stock performance [3][30]. Major Industry Events - Key events such as the announcement of the military parade, the India-Pakistan conflict, and various military exhibitions have significantly impacted the military sector's stock performance, with notable increases in index values following these announcements [4][32][38]. - The report details how the military sector has gained traction through various promotional activities and media coverage, enhancing public interest and investment potential [4][44]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on military-related stocks that are likely to benefit from the upcoming parade, military trade opportunities, and advancements in new combat capabilities [5][51].