Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core View of the Report Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on August 6, 2025, and also gives the expected trend of some futures in August 2025. It also provides macro - news, commodity - related information, and the performance of various futures on August 5, 2025 [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Performance on August 5, 2025 - Stock Index Futures: IF2509, IH2509, IC2509, and IM2509 all showed a trend of opening slightly higher and rising, with varying degrees of increase [14][15]. - Treasury Bond Futures: Most treasury bond futures closed higher, with the 30 - year, 10 - year, and 5 - year contracts rising, and the 2 - year contract falling [37]. - Commodity Futures: Gold, silver, copper, aluminum, etc. showed different trends of rising or falling, with some showing weak rebounds and some showing downward pressure [42][48][52]. 2. Futures Market Forecast on August 6, 2025 - Stock Index Futures: Expected to be strongly volatile. For example, IF2509 has resistance levels at 4100 and 4122 points, and support levels at 4080 and 4060 points [2]. - Treasury Bond Futures: The 10 - year T2509 and 30 - year TL2509 are expected to be strongly volatile [2]. - Commodity Futures: Gold, silver, and polycrystalline silicon are expected to be strongly volatile; copper, aluminum, and other metals, as well as glass, soda ash, etc. are expected to be weakly volatile; industrial silicon and lithium carbonate are expected to have wide - range fluctuations [2][3]. 3. Futures Market Forecast in August 2025 - Stock Index Futures: IF, IH, IC, and IM are all expected to be strongly volatile [18][19]. - Commodity Futures: Gold and silver are expected to be strongly and widely volatile; copper, aluminum, and iron ore are expected to have wide - range fluctuations; rebar is expected to be weakly and widely volatile; crude oil is expected to have wide - range fluctuations [42][52][77][85]. 4. Macro - News - China is implementing a series of policies, including free pre - school education, financial support for new industrialization, and health - environment promotion [8]. - The US trade deficit has shrunk, and economic data such as the ISM non - manufacturing index are mixed; Japan may raise interest rates; the eurozone's comprehensive PMI has rebounded slightly [9][10][11]. 5. Commodity - Related Information - The China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Products has issued an initiative for the photovoltaic industry; the trading volume and turnover of the domestic futures market in July have increased significantly [11]. - On August 5, international oil prices fell, precious metals rose, and base metals showed mixed trends [12].
股指期货将偏强震荡,黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡,多晶硅、焦煤期货将偏强宽幅震荡,玻璃、纯碱、原油、PVC期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-08-06 03:41