SK海力士（000660KS）：NAND价格疲弱或延续至2H25，HBM和DRAM的2H25-2026年净利润或低于市场预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for SK Hynix with a target price of KRW 255,245, up from KRW 188,633, indicating a 35% increase in target price [3][9][19]. Core Insights - The report highlights that SK Hynix's revenue for Q2 2025 was KRW 22.2 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 35% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26%, exceeding expectations due to significant shipments of NAND and DRAM products [7][12]. - Despite the strong performance in Q2 2025, the report anticipates that NAND demand will remain weak, leading to lower-than-expected net profits for NAND, HBM, and traditional DRAM in the second half of 2025 and 2026 [7][8][9]. - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026, increasing the 2025 EPS estimate to KRW 40,677 (up 10%) and the 2026 EPS estimate to KRW 39,952 (up 9%) [3][14]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 8.9% and 7.8%, respectively, primarily due to increased NAND shipments and price increases for DRAM products [13][15]. - The report projects a net profit of KRW 28,952 billion for 2025, reflecting a 46% year-on-year growth, but notes that this is 6.2% lower than the market consensus [15][18]. - The financial data indicates a significant increase in operating income and net profit margins, with a projected net profit margin of 32.9% for 2025 [10][15]. Market Comparison - The report compares its forecasts with market consensus, showing that SK Hynix's revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 are slightly above market expectations, while net profit estimates are below [18]. - The report emphasizes the potential impact of industry competition and demand fluctuations on SK Hynix's financial performance, particularly in the NAND and DRAM segments [9][19].