Minsheng Securities·2025-08-06 09:01Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the heavy truck industry [7] Core Insights - The report focuses on the upgrade of the heavy truck industry chain driven by the mandatory installation of Beidou systems and the digitalization of insurance, with significant policy support expected to generate large-scale installation demand [4][11] - The heavy truck market is entering a structural recovery phase, with a year-on-year sales growth of 5.8% in the first half of 2025, indicating a gradual recovery trend since February [8][22] - The integration of Beidou technology is expected to enhance operational efficiency and data monetization, creating a sustainable business model from policy-driven installation to data value realization [30][38] Summary by Sections 1. Beidou Positioning and Heavy Truck Industry Upgrade - The mandatory installation of Beidou systems is transforming vehicle management from manual experience to real-time data, supporting dynamic scheduling and safety improvements [15] - The heavy truck market is experiencing a recovery with increasing concentration among leading companies, driven by demand recovery and policy support [16][24] - The new Beidou terminal solutions offer significant advantages in cost, precision, and safety, becoming the mainstream choice for heavy trucks [30][35] 2. Heavy Truck Insurance Challenges and Digital Solutions - The heavy truck insurance market faces a supply-demand imbalance, with high accident risks leading to reduced underwriting by insurance companies [9][44] - Digital transformation is essential for the heavy truck insurance market, leveraging high-frequency data from Beidou terminals to enhance risk management and pricing accuracy [10][42] - The report suggests a shift towards a usage-based insurance (UBI) model, which could improve risk assessment and reduce claims costs [53][57] 3. Investment Recommendations - The heavy truck industry is poised for structural opportunities driven by the dual forces of mandatory Beidou installation and insurance digitalization, with leading companies like Weichai Power and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group expected to benefit [11][61] - The report emphasizes the importance of companies that actively promote the large-scale application of Beidou technology, highlighting their potential for data monetization and enhanced operational efficiency [11][61]