NCE(SH:605111) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-08-06 13:42Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its growth potential in the power semiconductor sector [5][54]. Core Views - The company has a strong foundation in power semiconductors and is expanding into high-end applications, which is expected to drive growth [5][54]. - The inventory destocking phase in the power semiconductor industry is coming to an end, leading to a recovery in operational performance [9][24]. - The company is actively developing products for various applications, including automotive electronics and AI servers, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [9][41]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Performance - As of April 4, 2025, the closing price is 32.24 CNY, with a market capitalization of 13,390.32 million CNY [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 22.10 billion CNY, 26.91 billion CNY, and 32.30 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 21%, 22%, and 20% respectively [47][54]. - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 5.35 billion CNY, 6.58 billion CNY, and 7.98 billion CNY for the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 23.22%, 22.80%, and 21.34% [54]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 25, 20, and 17 respectively [54]. Business Overview - The company focuses on the research, design, and sales of power semiconductor chips and devices, including MOSFETs and IGBTs, and has established four major product platforms [6][13]. - The company has nearly 4,000 product models covering a voltage range of 12V to 1700V [13][40]. - The company is expanding its high-end application markets, with significant contributions from automotive electronics, industrial automation, and AI computing [9][41]. Operational Performance - The company reported a revenue of 4.49 billion CNY in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.81% [24]. - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 36.42%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.67 percentage points [35]. - The company has established advanced packaging and testing lines through its subsidiaries, enhancing its production capabilities [9][22]. Competitive Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the recovery of the power semiconductor industry, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and market reach [9][54]. - The company has formed strategic partnerships with leading packaging and testing firms to strengthen its supply chain [40].