冠通期货资讯早间报-20250807

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the report industry investment rating in the given content. Core Viewpoints The report comprehensively presents overnight market trends, important news, and financial market conditions across various sectors including commodities, finance, and international affairs. It details price movements in global and domestic futures markets, significant macro - economic and policy events, and performance in stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets. Summary by Category Overnight Night - Market Trends - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold futures down 0.08% at $3431.8 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 0.3% at $37.935 per ounce [2] - OPEC's production increase pressured oil prices, with the US oil main contract down 1.37% at $64.27 per barrel and Brent crude main contract down 1.29% at $66.77 per barrel [3] - London base metals mostly rose, with LME aluminum up 2.30% at $2621.50 per ton, LME zinc up 1.34% at $2795.00 per ton, LME lead up 1.19% at $1997.00 per ton, and LME copper up 0.37% at $9674.00 per ton [3] - Domestic futures main contracts were mixed, with coking coal and alumina up over 1%, and rapeseed meal and caustic soda down over 1% [4] Important Information Macroeconomic News - The Shanghai International Energy Exchange decided to restrict Du XX's account from opening new positions in the corresponding contract of the Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures (EC) 2510 contract for 1 month starting from August 6, 2025 [6] - Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko announced on August 6 that three joint mining projects between Ukraine and the US are in preparation and will be implemented in the next 18 months [8] - Trump's advisors are pushing him to appoint interim Federal Reserve governors, and short - term appointments will give Trump more time to choose the Fed chair [8] - Trump signed an executive order to impose an additional 25% tariff on goods from India in response to India's continued purchase of Russian oil [9] - Fed's Kashkari said the Fed should respond to economic slowdown, and he still thinks two rate cuts this year seem appropriate, but may pause or even raise rates if inflation rises due to tariffs [9] - Trump will impose a 100% tariff on imported goods containing semiconductors, exempting companies that produce in the US [10] - Trump plans to meet with Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky as early as next week [10] Energy and Chemical Futures - As of the week ending August 2, Japan's commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 948,753 kiloliters to 11,337,392 kiloliters, and gasoline inventory decreased by 12,487 kiloliters to 1,466,814 kiloliters [12] - As of the week ending August 4, the total refined oil inventory at Fujairah Port in the UAE increased by 2.024 million barrels to 19.072 million barrels [13] - On August 6, 2025, China's urea enterprise total inventory was 887,600 tons, down 29,700 tons from last week, a 3.24% decrease; methanol port inventory was 925,500 tons, up 117,100 tons from the previous period [14] - Saudi Arabia raised the official selling price of Arab light crude oil for September to Asia, the US, and north - western Europe [14] - As of the week ending August 1, US commercial crude oil inventory (excluding strategic reserves) decreased by 3.029 million barrels to 424 million barrels, a 0.71% decrease; strategic petroleum reserve inventory increased by 235,000 barrels to 403 million barrels, a 0.06% increase [14] Metal Futures - Indonesia's PT Gresik smelter entered maintenance due to oxygen supply equipment failure, affecting about 20,000 tons of copper production [16] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association is soliciting opinions on the "Draft Amendment to the Price Law (for public comment)" [16] - From January to July 2025, the total trading volume of the Shanghai Gold Exchange was 29.05 trillion yuan, a 49.24% year - on - year increase [17] - In July 2025, China's electrolytic copper actual output was 1.1944 million tons, a 4.05% month - on - month increase and a 19.58% year - on - year increase [19] - Affected by mine production growth in July, zinc concentrate production may decline slightly in August due to mine maintenance in Sichuan and Yunnan [20] Black - Series Futures - In late July 2025, key steel enterprises' steel inventory was 14.78 million tons, a 5.6% decrease from the previous ten - day period; daily average crude steel output was 1.982 million tons, a 7.4% decrease from the previous period [22] - On August 6, coal supply in Ordos was still affected by rainfall and was in the recovery stage [23] - A coal mine in Lvliang Xingxian completed 106.9% of its coal production plan and 102.4% of its tunneling footage plan in the first half of the year, and plans to produce 5.784 million tons in the second half of the year [23] - Some coal mines received a 276 - working - day production plan notice, and their production is expected to decline [23] Agricultural Futures - From August 1 - 5, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil yield decreased by 19.32% month - on - month, oil extraction rate increased by 0.39% month - on - month, and production decreased by 17.27% month - on - month [26] - Malaysia's palm oil production in July 2025 was estimated to increase by 9.01% to 1.84 million tons [26] Financial Market Stock Market - On Wednesday, A - share major indices rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.45% at 3633.99 points, Shenzhen Component Index up 0.64%, and ChiNext Index up 0.66%. Market turnover was 1.76 trillion yuan, an increase of about 140 billion yuan from the previous day [28] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.03% to 24910.63 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.2%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 0.21%. Southbound funds net - bought nearly HK$9.5 billion [28] - As of August 6, 258 stocks in A - shares had doubled in price this year, with Shangwei New Materials leading with a more than 12 - fold increase [28] - In July, the number of private securities product filings reached 1298, a 18% month - on - month increase, a 27 - month high [30] - iQiyi responded that it has no more information regarding its potential HK$300 million listing in Hong Kong [31] - Uni - President China's first - half revenue was 17.087 billion yuan, a 10.6% year - on - year increase; net profit was 1.287 billion yuan, a 33.24% year - on - year increase [32] Industry News - In August, the retail industry prosperity index was 50.1%, a 0.5 - percentage - point increase from the previous month [33] - Shanghai issued a development plan for the embodied intelligence industry, aiming for a core industry scale of over 50 billion yuan by 2027 [33] - In the first half of this year, China's industrial and service robot production increased by 35.6% and 25.5% respectively year - on - year [33] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association is soliciting opinions on the "Draft Amendment to the Price Law (for public comment)" [34] - The Securities Association of China is seeking opinions on the "Standard for the Stability Assurance System of the Securities Industry Information System (for public comment)" [35] - In July, the national passenger car retail sales were 1.834 million units, a 7% year - on - year increase; new energy vehicle retail sales were 1.003 million units, a 14% year - on - year increase, with a penetration rate of 54.7% [37] - Starting from August 4, express delivery prices in Guangdong increased by 0.4 yuan per ticket [37] Overseas News - Trump plans to meet with Putin and Zelensky as early as next week to promote a cease - fire in Ukraine [38] - Fed's Daly said policy adjustment may be needed in the next few months, and the labor market has softened [38] - Fed's Kashkari still expects two rate cuts this year, and the impact of tariffs on inflation is unclear [38] - South Korea will implement a temporary visa - free policy for Chinese group tourists from September 29, 2025, to June 30, 2026 [39] - In July, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, a 0.2 - percentage - point decrease from the previous month [40] - The German government plans to set up a €100 billion investment fund for strategic industries [41] - Japan's nominal wage in June increased by 2.5% year - on - year, the largest increase since February [43] - As of January 1, Japan's population was 120.6532 million, a decrease of about 908,000 from the previous year [44] - The Reserve Bank of India kept the benchmark interest rate at 5.5% and maintained a "neutral" policy stance [45] International Stock Markets - US major indices rose, with the Dow up 0.18%, S&P 500 up 0.73%, and Nasdaq up 1.21%. Apple and Walmart led the gains in the Dow [46] - European major indices rose, with the German DAX up 0.33%, French CAC40 up 0.18%, and UK FTSE 100 up 0.24% [46] - Morgan Stanley believes that US stocks may adjust in the third quarter, but the bull market is not over [46] - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang sold about 225,000 shares, cashing out about $39.78 million [47] - McDonald's Q2 revenue was $6.84 billion, a 5.4% year - on - year increase; same - store sales increased by 3.8% [49] - Disney's Q3 revenue was $23.65 billion, a 2.1% year - on - year increase, and it raised its full - year EPS forecast [49] - Uber's Q2 revenue was $12.7 billion, a 18% year - on - year increase, and it announced a new $20 billion share repurchase plan [50] - Honda's Q1 net profit was 196.6 billion yen, a 50.2% year - on - year decrease, but it raised its full - year net profit forecast [50] - Novo Nordisk's Q2 sales were 76.857 billion Danish kroner, a 13% year - on - year increase, but it lowered its full - year sales and profit growth forecasts [50] Commodity Market - Gold inventory in Shanghai Futures Exchange warehouses reached a record high, driven by arbitrage trading [51] - International precious metal futures closed mixed, with COMEX gold down 0.08% and COMEX silver up 0.3% [51] - Oil prices fell due to OPEC's production increase and weak US economic data [53] - London base metals mostly rose, supported by the Fed's loose policy expectations but pressured by tariff uncertainties [53] Bond Market - In the domestic inter - bank market, major interest - rate bond yields mostly declined, and the bond market is in a wait - and - see period [54] - US Treasury yields were mixed, with short - term yields down and long - term yields up due to Fed's comments and tariff uncertainties [54] Foreign Exchange Market - On Wednesday, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.1900, down 24 points from the previous day [55] - The Hong Kong dollar triggered the "weak - side convertibility undertaking", and the HKMA bought HK$8.439 billion [56] - The US dollar index fell 0.55%, and most non - US currencies rose [58]