Guoxin Securities·2025-08-07 08:31Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Huaneng International [3][5] Core Viewpoints - Huaneng International is a leading power generation company in China, benefiting from improved cash flow and dividend expectations due to the capacity price mechanism in thermal power [1][2] - The transition to a two-part pricing system for thermal power is expected to stabilize profitability, with coal prices anticipated to remain stable [2][3] - The company is increasing its investment in renewable energy, aiming for a 45% share of low-carbon clean energy capacity by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Huaneng International is a large-scale power enterprise engaged in the development, construction, and operation of coal, gas, and renewable energy projects, with a controllable installed capacity of 152.99 million kW as of June 2025 [1][14] - The company’s revenue primarily comes from electricity and heat supply, with coal power contributing significantly to profits [1][17] Profitability and Financial Indicators - The report forecasts net profits for the parent company of 12.52 billion, 13.05 billion, and 13.56 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a growth rate of 23.5%, 4.3%, and 3.9% respectively [3][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.80, 0.83, and 0.86 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.5, 9.1, and 8.7 [3][4] Investment Recommendations - The stock value is estimated to be between 7.98 and 8.73 yuan, indicating a premium of 6% to 16% over the current stock price of 7.58 yuan [3][5] - The report emphasizes the potential for stable dividends supported by improved cash flow and capital expenditure management [2][68]