Guoyuan Securities·2025-08-07 09:20Investment Rating - The report recommends a "First-time Buy" rating for the industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The domestic glass substrate industry is experiencing a significant shift towards localization, with major breakthroughs in high-generation glass substrate technology by domestic companies [8] - The global market for FPD glass substrates is expected to reach approximately 50 billion RMB by 2025, driven by price increases and rising demand [3][44] - The competitive landscape is dominated by three major foreign companies, which hold about 80% of the market share, but domestic manufacturers are rapidly increasing their market presence [4][51] Summary by Sections 1. Display Glass Substrate Overview - Display glass substrates are a core component of display panels, accounting for approximately 15.2% of the cost of TFT-LCD panels [2][27] - The demand for glass substrates is primarily driven by the LCD panel industry, with about 80% of glass substrates used for LCD panels [2][27] 2. Development of Display Glass Substrates - Major glass substrate manufacturers, including Corning, AGC, and NEG, have raised prices by over 10% in response to rising energy costs [3][43] - The global market for FPD glass substrates is projected to grow by 15%, from 6.12 billion USD in 2024 to 7.05 billion USD in 2025, equivalent to about 50 billion RMB [3][44] 3. Competitive Landscape - The top three companies (Corning, AGC, and NEG) control approximately 80% of the FPD glass substrate market, with Corning leading at over 50% market share [4][51] - Domestic manufacturers have made significant progress in high-generation glass substrate technology, with companies like Rainbow Technology achieving notable production milestones [8][19] 4. Investment Recommendations - Given the clear trend towards domestic production of high-generation glass substrates, companies like Rainbow Technology are recommended for investment due to their technological and market potential [8][9]