Changjiang Securities·2025-08-07 11:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [10] Core Insights - The gradual realization of compensation benefits from the Lianghekou hydropower station is expected to significantly enhance the profitability of Yalong River Hydropower, benefiting stakeholders such as Guotou Power and ChuanTou Energy. The profitability of Yalong River Hydropower is comparable to that of Yangtze Power, but its future growth potential is significantly higher due to ongoing construction of midstream power stations and integrated development of wind and solar energy [2][8] Summary by Sections Joint Dispatch of Hydropower - China's water resources exhibit uneven distribution throughout the year, with significant rainfall occurring from May to October, accounting for 70%-90% of annual rainfall. The joint dispatch of upstream and downstream reservoirs can effectively reduce seasonal flow fluctuations and unnecessary water wastage, while also enhancing water head and energy utilization efficiency [5][20] Quantifying the Benefits of Joint Dispatch - The Lianghekou hydropower station, which began full operation in 2022, is expected to realize significant electricity generation benefits by 2025. The total regulation capacity of the three major reservoirs in Sichuan is 148 billion cubic meters, which is about 51% of the province's total effective capacity. The joint operation of these reservoirs can lead to an electricity generation increase of approximately 88.52 billion kWh, corresponding to an 8.94% enhancement in generation capacity [6][42] Investment Value of Guotou Power and ChuanTou Energy - The report highlights the investment value of Guotou Power and ChuanTou Energy, as their valuations are currently lower compared to Yangtze Power, despite similar profitability levels. The narrowing dividend yield gap between Guotou Power and Yangtze Power further supports this positive outlook [8][72]