行业景气观察（0807)：7月出口超预期增长，重卡销量同比增幅扩大

Core Insights - July exports exceeded expectations with a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, up from 5.9% in the previous month, driven by competitive advantages in supply chains and manufacturing sectors such as machinery, automobiles, and integrated circuits [16][24]. - The report highlights improvements in export growth rates to emerging markets, including Africa, ASEAN, Vietnam, and India, while exports to developed regions like the EU and Canada also showed positive trends [18][24]. Industry Observations Export Performance - The export growth rate for July was 7.2%, significantly higher than the market expectation of 5.8%, with imports also increasing to a year-on-year growth of 4.1% [16]. - The three-month rolling year-on-year growth rate for exports decreased from 6.23% to 5.93%, indicating a slight slowdown despite the strong monthly performance [16]. Manufacturing and Technology - The semiconductor sales growth rate for June showed a narrowing year-on-year increase, while July saw an expansion in the import and export amounts of integrated circuits [5][29]. - The report notes that the prices in the photovoltaic industry, including components and battery cells, have increased, reflecting a positive trend in the midstream manufacturing sector [14][27]. Consumer Demand - The report indicates a mixed performance in consumer goods, with ticket sales for films increasing while retail sales for home appliances showed a decline [27]. - The prices of agricultural products, such as fresh milk and sugar, remained stable, while pork prices held steady, indicating a stable demand in the agricultural sector [27]. Resource Products - Industrial metal prices generally increased, with copper, aluminum, and zinc prices rising, while coal prices also showed an upward trend [14][27]. - The report highlights a decrease in the price index for cement and glass, indicating a potential slowdown in construction-related demand [14][27]. Financial and Real Estate Sector - The report notes a decline in the turnover rate and daily trading volume in the A-share market, alongside a decrease in land transaction premium rates and housing transaction areas [14][27]. - The monetary market saw a net injection, with SHIBOR rates declining across various terms, reflecting a more accommodative monetary policy environment [14][27]. Public Utilities - The average daily power generation of key power plants showed a year-on-year increase over 12 weeks, indicating a stable demand for electricity [14][27]. - Natural gas prices in China have decreased, aligning with a broader trend of declining energy prices globally [14][27].