沪深三大指数出现分化，短期如有震荡不改慢牛格局

Core Views - The report indicates that despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term trend remains a slow bull market for A-shares, supported by moderate trading volume and a healthy overall market trend [3][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-performing sectors while avoiding stocks with questionable performance or negative expectations [3][4] Market Overview - On Thursday, the three major indices opened with fluctuations and subsequently fell, but the banking sector provided support, leading to a rebound in the Shanghai Composite Index, which reached a new annual high of 3639.67 points [2][8] - The market showed divergence, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext did not follow suit, indicating internal market discrepancies that need further digestion [2][8] Trading Volume and Trends - Recent trading volumes have been increasing, with daily volumes reaching 1.5 trillion yuan on Monday, 1.6 trillion yuan on Tuesday, 1.7 trillion yuan on Wednesday, and over 1.8 trillion yuan on Thursday [3][9] - The overall market trend remains positive, with a healthy upward trajectory and orderly rotation among sectors, which is beneficial for the formation of a slow bull market [3][9] Sector Analysis - The semiconductor sector has shown significant growth, with a 10.10% increase in 2023, driven by national policy support and rising global demand for AI and high-performance computing [6] - Consumer stocks, particularly in beauty care, agriculture, and dairy, have become active, with domestic consumption expected to be a key driver of economic recovery in 2025 [7] - Rare earth permanent magnet stocks surged, supported by China's dominant position in global rare earth production and recent price increases announced by major producers [7] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a "slow bull" market pattern for A-shares, driven by favorable tariff negotiations, continuous policy support, and improved liquidity conditions [3][9] - Investors are advised to maintain a rational approach, focusing on sectors with clear performance potential such as semiconductor, AI, and healthcare, while being cautious of stocks that have seen excessive prior gains [3][9]