Soochow Securities·2025-08-08 01:32Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The automation and intelligence of urban sanitation operations are being achieved through unmanned sanitation equipment, which can be categorized into small-tonnage, large-tonnage, and humanoid robots [4][10] - Small-tonnage unmanned equipment is expected to be more economical and will likely see earlier market adoption [4][13] - The market potential for unmanned sanitation and driving equipment is estimated to reach a trillion yuan level, with various scenarios predicting market sizes ranging from 575 billion to 1,522 billion yuan depending on the adoption rates [4][15] - The industry is actively engaging in the layout of intelligent and unmanned solutions, addressing labor shortages and aging workforce issues in the sanitation sector [4][18] - Orders for unmanned sanitation equipment are accelerating, showing a trend of scattered volume growth, with significant government contracts [4][40] Summary by Sections 1. Automation and Intelligence in Sanitation - Unmanned sanitation equipment utilizes advanced technologies for automation and intelligence, categorized into small-tonnage, large-tonnage, and humanoid robots [10] - Small-tonnage equipment serves semi-enclosed areas, while large-tonnage equipment is designed for open environments [12] 1.2 Economic Analysis - Small-tonnage unmanned equipment can replace 3-4 workers, with a current price of around 300,000 yuan, becoming economically viable as prices drop to 200,000 yuan [13] - Large-tonnage unmanned vehicles currently lack economic viability but could become competitive if prices decrease to 600,000 yuan [13] 1.3 Market Potential - The market for unmanned sanitation equipment is projected to be substantial, with estimates of 575 billion yuan under conservative assumptions and up to 1,522 billion yuan under optimistic scenarios [15] 2. Active Participation in Unmanned Solutions - Various companies are actively developing and deploying unmanned sanitation solutions, addressing labor challenges and enhancing mechanization rates [18][19] 3. Order Growth Trends - The number of contracts for unmanned sanitation projects is increasing, with projections indicating a 129% year-on-year growth in total contract value for 2025 [40][41]