Dongguan Securities·2025-08-08 09:51Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Standard Allocation" for the automotive industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [43]. Core Insights - The automotive sector has shown a mixed performance, with the automotive index rising 0.57% over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.40 percentage points, ranking 13th among 31 industries [10][11]. - The report highlights a significant increase in retail sales of passenger vehicles, with July sales reaching 1.834 million units, a 7% year-on-year increase, although down 12% from the previous month [22][39]. - The report anticipates a market recovery in late August due to the rollout of the third batch of "old-for-new" subsidies and the upcoming peak sales season in September and October [39]. Industry Data Tracking - Raw material prices have shown fluctuations, with steel prices down 0.38%, aluminum up 0.78%, and lithium carbonate down 0.35% as of August 7, 2025 [16][21]. - The report notes that the automotive sector's year-to-date performance has increased by 13.19%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 8.63 percentage points [10][11]. Industry News - The China Passenger Car Association has slightly raised its annual forecast for passenger vehicle retail sales, now expecting a 6% increase for 2025 [23]. - In July, wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.18 million units, marking a 25% year-on-year increase [24]. - The establishment of the China Changan Automobile Group in Chongqing aims to enhance the company's focus on intelligent vehicles and global market expansion [27]. Company News - Li Auto, China Automotive Technology and Research Center, and Dongfeng Liuzhou Automobile have issued a joint statement regarding the Li Auto i8 crash test, emphasizing the importance of maintaining market order and ethical competition [30]. - BYD reported July sales of 344,296 vehicles, a decrease of 8.8% month-on-month, but a year-to-date increase of 27% [36]. - Changan Automobile's July sales of new energy vehicles reached 80,006 units, a 74.05% year-on-year increase [35].