Dongguan Securities·2025-08-08 10:08Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Market Perform" [31] Core Insights - The consumer service industry index experienced a decline of 2.17% from July 25 to August 7, 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 1.35 percentage points, primarily due to adverse weather conditions affecting travel data and declining performance in some companies' semi-annual reports [7][8] - In the first half of 2025, the total number of domestic trips reached 3.285 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.6%, with total spending of 3.15 trillion yuan, up 15.2% [22] - Recent heavy rainfall has led to the temporary closure of several tourist attractions, impacting the tourism and hotel sectors [23] - Positive policy signals have emerged, including subsidies for childbirth and reductions in childcare fees, indicating potential future support for consumption and fertility [31] Summary by Sections Market Review - The consumer service index has shown a decline, with significant underperformance compared to the CSI 300 index [7] - The tourism and hotel sectors have been particularly affected by recent heavy rainfall, while the education sector has seen an uptick due to supportive policies [8] Industry News - The South Korean government will implement a temporary visa exemption for Chinese group tourists starting September 29, 2025, which has led to a surge in travel searches [20] - The introduction of a new membership system by Taobao integrates various services, enhancing travel-related benefits for users [21] Company Announcements - Action Education proposed a mid-year dividend distribution of 10 yuan per 10 shares [24] - Huangshan Tourism plans to invest in a new subsidiary and participate in a land bidding process [25] - China Duty Free Group reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but maintained a strong market position in Hainan [29] Weekly Outlook - The report suggests focusing on companies that may benefit from the current market conditions, including China Duty Free Group, Jinjiang Hotels, and others in the cyclical sectors [31][32]