Workflow
爱旭股份(600732):业绩超预期扭亏,但下半年仍有不确定性,维持中性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is Neutral [2][11]. Core Insights - The company has reported better-than-expected performance, achieving profitability in Q2 2025, with a revenue of RMB 4.31 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.2% [6][7]. - The gross margin significantly improved to 7.4%, up 6.9 percentage points from the previous quarter, marking the first profitable quarter since Q4 2023 [6]. - Despite the positive results, uncertainties remain for the second half of the year, leading to a maintained Neutral rating and a target price of RMB 16.50, reflecting a potential upside of 12.6% [6][11]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 27,170 million in 2023, RMB 11,155 million in 2024, RMB 19,370 million in 2025E, RMB 30,386 million in 2026E, and RMB 35,905 million in 2027E, with a significant growth expected in 2025 [5][13]. - The net profit is projected to be RMB 757 million in 2023, a loss of RMB 5,319 million in 2024, and a loss of RMB 337 million in 2025E, with a return to profitability expected in 2026 [5][13]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to recover from -9.9% in 2024 to 5.3% in 2025E, and further improve to 13.8% in 2026E [13]. Market Performance - The stock has a 52-week high of RMB 16.49 and a low of RMB 7.39, with a market capitalization of approximately RMB 26,556.06 million [4]. - Year-to-date performance shows an increase of 32.94% [4]. Component Business Forecast - The company’s ABC component sales are projected to grow from 0.5 GW in 2023 to 20.0 GW in 2025E, with unit prices expected to decrease from RMB 1.22 to RMB 0.73 per watt during the same period [8].