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锂电池产业链行业双周报(2025/07/25-2025/08/07):关注固态电池结构性细分机会-20250808
Dongguan Securities·2025-08-08 11:00

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [2][51]. Core Viewpoints - The lithium battery industry is experiencing a structural shift with opportunities in solid-state battery segments. The demand for power batteries is expected to recover as the traditional peak season approaches, while energy storage demand remains high. The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the battery and materials sectors that have technological and production advantages in solid-state electrolytes and new materials [3][45]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of August 7, 2025, the lithium battery index has decreased by 6.59% over the past two weeks, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 5.77 percentage points. Year-to-date, the lithium battery index has increased by 4.55%, also underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.01 percentage points [4][13]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - As of August 7, 2025, the average price of battery-grade lithium carbonate is 71,200 CNY/ton, up 0.92% in the last two weeks. The price of lithium hydroxide (LiOH 56.5%) is 69,300 CNY/ton, up 2.36% [25][27]. - Electrolytic cobalt is priced at 267,000 CNY/ton, up 8.10%, while electrolytic nickel is at 122,400 CNY/ton, down 2.08% [26]. - Phosphate iron lithium prices remain stable at 32,700 CNY/ton, while NCM523, NCM622, and NCM811 have seen increases of 1.78%, 1.68%, and 0.69%, respectively [27][30]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate is 50,300 CNY/ton, up 1.62%, with other electrolyte prices remaining stable [31]. Industry News - In July, the retail sales of new energy vehicles reached 1,003,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14%, while wholesale sales were 1,179,000 units, up 25% year-on-year. The report indicates a traditional seasonal decline in sales but a strong year-on-year growth [42][45]. - Major automotive companies are advancing solid-state battery technology, with significant investments and developments reported by companies like Volkswagen and Gotion High-Tech [42][44]. Company Announcements - Notable companies such as CATL reported a revenue of 178.886 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.27%, with a net profit of 30.485 billion CNY, up 33.33% [44][47]. - Other companies like Keda and Enjie are also showing strong performance and growth in their respective sectors, particularly in solid-state battery materials and components [47].