Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-08 12:30Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a public utility platform under the Zhongshan State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on water, solid waste, and new energy sectors, with water services providing stable revenue [6][13]. - The company is expected to enter a growth phase, driven by strategic expansions in its core businesses, particularly in water supply and solid waste management, alongside new energy initiatives [6][36]. - The company holds a 10.55% stake in GF Securities, which is a significant asset contributing to its profits, and the valuation of this stake is anticipated to increase [6][16]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 5,678 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.2% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1,199 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a 24% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.82 yuan for 2024, with a projected increase to 1.40 yuan by 2027 [2]. Business Segments Water Services - The company has a water supply capacity of 265,000 tons per day, capturing 94% of the market share in Zhongshan, with potential price adjustments expected to increase net profits by 120 to 180 million yuan [6][42]. - The wastewater treatment capacity is currently 126,000 tons per day, with ongoing projects aimed at enhancing infrastructure and service quality [6][43]. Solid Waste Management - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions in the solid waste sector, with a projected capacity of 6,120 tons per day by 2025 following recent acquisitions [6][43]. New Energy - The company is establishing joint ventures and funds to develop distributed photovoltaic and energy storage projects, with approximately 500 MWp currently under construction or connected to the grid [6][43]. Shareholder Returns - The company has announced a special dividend of 5.14 billion yuan for 2024, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 53% [32]. - A three-year shareholder return plan is expected to be implemented, focusing on enhancing shareholder value through dividends and potential stock incentives [34].