进出口数据快评：下半程开局良好，高附加值商品领跑

Export Data - In July 2025, China's exports increased by 7.2% year-on-year, reaching $321.78 billion, surpassing the expected growth of 5.8%[2][3] - The cumulative export growth from January to July 2025 was 6.1%, while imports decreased by 2.7%, resulting in a trade surplus of $68.35 billion[2][3] - High-value products such as integrated circuits (20.5%), automobiles (9.7%), and ships (15.5%) showed strong export growth, with integrated circuits and automobiles increasing by 1.6 and 1.5 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month[11][14] Import Data - In July 2025, imports grew by 4.1% year-on-year, reaching $223.54 billion, marking the highest growth rate of the year[9] - The cumulative import growth from January to July 2025 showed a decline of 2.7%, but the July figure was higher than the levels seen in the same month over the past three years[9][11] - Key imports such as copper ore (17.3%) and integrated circuits (8.0%) maintained rapid growth, indicating a recovery in import structure[11][14] Market Trends - The trade surplus in July 2025 was $98.24 billion, reflecting a strong export performance despite ongoing uncertainties in external demand[2][3] - Emerging markets, particularly ASEAN and India, showed significant growth in exports, with ASEAN exports increasing by 13.5% and India by 13.4%[14][17] - The report highlights the dual challenges of fluctuating U.S. tariff policies and the need for China to stabilize its export base through emerging market expansion and policy support[17][20]