国光股份（002749）：上半年归母净利润增长6.05%，分红比例延续较高水平

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][17] Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year growth of 6.05% in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 1.119 billion yuan, a 7.33% increase [1][8] - The company is the largest seller of plant growth regulators in China and is focusing on promoting comprehensive crop management solutions, which is expected to enhance customer loyalty and drive future growth [2][13] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio, proposing a cash dividend of 4.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 187 million yuan, which represents 80.92% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [16][2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 47.42%, an increase of 1.07 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products and lower raw material prices [1][8] - The revenue from pesticide sales was 781 million yuan, up 7.81% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 51.04%, while fertilizer sales reached 298 million yuan, a 6.99% increase, with a gross margin of 36.88% [1][8] - The company expects to maintain a high dividend payout ratio in the future due to low capital expenditure and a stable gross profit margin above 40% [16][2] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 443 million yuan, 514 million yuan, and 556 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.95, 1.10, and 1.19 yuan [3][4][17] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 16.5, 14.2, and 13.1 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [3][4][17]