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可转债周报(2025年8月4日至2025年8月8日):估值较高,但仍可以乐观-20250809
EBSCN·2025-08-09 07:28

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Core View of the Report - The current convertible bond valuations are close to or exceed historical highs, but the equity market is on the rise, so one can still be optimistic about convertible bonds [1][4] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Conditions - From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by +2.3% (last week's change was -1.4%), and the CSI All-Share Index changed by +1.9% (last week's change was -1.1%). Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +12.8%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +10.7%, with the convertible bond market outperforming the equity market [1][4] - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) rose by +2.14%, +2.26%, and +3.01% respectively this week, with low-rated bonds having the highest increase. By convertible bond size, large-scale convertible bonds (bond balance > 5 billion yuan), medium-scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small-scale convertible bonds (balance < 500 million yuan) rose by +1.49%, +2.38%, and +3.23% respectively, with small-scale convertible bonds having the highest increase. By parity, ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value > 130 yuan), high parity bonds (conversion value between 110 and 130 yuan), medium parity bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan), low parity bonds (conversion value between 70 and 90 yuan), and ultra-low parity bonds (conversion value < 70 yuan) rose by +4.08%, +2.85%, +2.30%, +1.96%, and +1.86% respectively, with ultra-high parity bonds having the highest increase [2] - The top 30 convertible bonds in terms of increase are mainly from the machinery and equipment (7) and chemical (6) industries; the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of decline are mainly from the pharmaceutical and biological (7) and chemical (4) industries [2] Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of August 8, 2025, there were 461 outstanding convertible bonds (463 at the end of last week), with a balance of 631.809 billion yuan (636.614 billion yuan at the end of last week). The average convertible bond price was 130.4 yuan (127.7 yuan last week), with a percentile of 99.5%; the average convertible bond parity was 103.18 yuan (100.65 yuan last week), with a percentile of 93.5%; the average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 28.1% (27.4% last week), with a percentile of 56.7%. Among them, the conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 29.6% (27.6% last week), higher than the median conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds since 2018 (20.1%) [3] Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by +2.3% this week, continuing to rise after a slight adjustment last week; the CSI All-Share Index changed by +1.9%. Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +12.8%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +10.7%, with the convertible bond market outperforming the equity market. Although the current convertible bond valuations are high, one can still be optimistic about convertible bonds due to the promising equity market [4] Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of increase this week include Jiejian Convertible Bond, Julong Convertible Bond, and Gaoce Convertible Bond, with increases of 23.15%, 21.65%, and 16.82% respectively [22]