花生现货回落，盘面窄幅震荡

Group 1: Report's Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The trading volume of peanuts has decreased, the price of general peanuts has continued to decline, and the purchase price of oil mills has remained stable. The downstream consumption is still weak, and the futures price is oscillating at the bottom. It is recommended to establish short positions above 8300 for October peanuts, try the option strategy of selling pk510 - C - 8400, and conduct reverse arbitrage for the 10 - 1 spread when it is high [5][6]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Chapter 1: Comprehensive Analysis and Trading Strategies - Option strategy: Try selling the pk510 - C - 8400 option strategy [5]. - Trading logic: Decreased peanut trading volume, falling general peanut prices, stable oil mill purchase prices, weak downstream consumption, and oscillating futures prices at the bottom [6]. - Strategy: Establish short positions above 8300 for October peanuts [6]. - Spread strategy: Conduct reverse arbitrage for the 10 - 1 spread when it is high [6]. Chapter 2: Core Logic Analysis - Peanut price: The price of general peanuts has declined, with the price of Henan peanuts dropping. The purchase price of oil mills and the price of imported peanuts have remained stable. Shandong Junan large peanuts are at 4.1 yuan/jin, Henan Zhengyang new - season peanuts are at 4.25 yuan/jin (down 0.1 yuan/jin from last week), Liaoning Changtu Baisha is at 4.2 yuan/jin (down 0.1 yuan/jin from last week), and Jilin Fuyu Baisha is at 4.2 yuan/jin (down 0.1 yuan/jin from last week). The price of Sudanese peanuts is 8300 yuan/ton, remaining stable. The oil mill's basic purchase price is between 7500 - 7650 yuan/ton, remaining stable [9][11]. - Domestic demand: The operating rate of oil mills has slightly increased. As of August 7, the operating rate of peanut oil mills this week is 5.11%, a 0.8% increase from the previous week. The inventory of oil mills has decreased, with the arrival volume this week at 0.08 million tons, an increase. The peanut inventory of oil mills is 96,300 tons, a decrease of 6000 tons from last week, and the peanut oil inventory is 39,000 tons, a decrease of 100 tons from last week [13][15]. - Pressing profit: The purchase price of peanuts and the price of peanut oil are stable, but the pressing profit has slightly decreased. The pressing profit of peanut oil mills is 119 yuan/ton, a decrease of 18 yuan/ton from last week. The average price of first - grade peanut oil is 14,900 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton from last week, and the price of small - squeezed concentrated fragrant oil is 16,800 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton from last week. The price of peanut meal is strong, at 3260 yuan/ton this week, an increase of 10 yuan/ton from last week [17][19]. - Basis and spread: It is advisable to wait and see. This week, the October - January spread of peanuts has remained stable at around 140 yuan, and the spot - futures price difference has declined [21][24]. - Peanut imports: In June, the import of peanut kernels was 27,000 tons, and from January to June, the cumulative import was 94,000 tons, a 76% decrease compared to the same period last year. The export of peanut kernels in June was 1000 tons, and from January to June, the cumulative export was 78,000 tons, a 30% increase compared to the same period last year. The import of peanut oil in June was 39,000 tons, and from January to June, the cumulative import of peanut oil was 182,000 tons, a 33% increase compared to last year [27][29]. Chapter 3: Weekly Data Tracking - Peanut price: Charts show the historical prices of Shandong general peanut kernels, oil mill purchase prices, and the basis between Shandong spot and continuous contracts [10]. - Basis and spread: Charts show the historical trends of the 1 - 4 spread, 4 - 10 spread, and 10 - 1 spread of peanuts [39]. - Peanut imports and exports: Charts show the historical import and export volumes of peanut kernels and peanut oil, as well as the cumulative import volume and price of peanut oil [28][56]. - Pressing profit: Charts show the historical pressing profit of peanut oil mills, the price difference between peanut meal and soybean meal, and the price of Shandong peanut oil [18]. - Downstream data: Charts show the historical operating rate of pressing plants, peanut pressing volume, and peanut oil inventory of oil mills [51].