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浙江电力现货市场转入正式运行,7月份我国天然气进口量同比下降2.1%
Xinda Securities·2025-08-09 15:39

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the public utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The electricity sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment following multiple rounds of supply-demand tensions. The continuous advancement of electricity market reforms is likely to lead to a stable but slight increase in electricity prices. The introduction of a capacity pricing mechanism will clarify the foundational role of coal power [4] - The natural gas sector is anticipated to benefit from the recovery in domestic consumption and the decline in upstream gas prices, with city gas businesses expected to achieve stable margins and high sales growth [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of August 8, the public utility sector rose by 1.6%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index. The electricity sector increased by 1.41%, while the gas sector rose by 3.60% [3][10] - Key companies in the electricity sector saw significant stock performance variations, with Shanghai Electric rising by 11.35% and Guodian Power declining by 2.89% [11][13] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of Qinhuangdao port thermal coal (Q5500) increased by 23 CNY/ton week-on-week, reaching 678 CNY/ton as of August 8 [3][19] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao port increased by 250,000 tons week-on-week, totaling 5.47 million tons [28] - Daily coal consumption in inland provinces rose by 6.42% week-on-week, reaching 4.09 million tons [28] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - As of August 8, the LNG ex-factory price index in Shanghai was 4,220 CNY/ton, down 14.38% year-on-year [52] - The EU's natural gas supply for week 29 of 2025 was 6.08 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.2% [60] - Domestic natural gas consumption in June 2025 was 35.05 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.9% [4] Key Industry News - The State Grid's electricity load reached a historical high of 1.233 billion kilowatts due to extreme weather conditions [4] - In July, China's natural gas imports totaled 10.632 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1% [4] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, focus on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight supply areas [4] - In the natural gas sector, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are recommended, such as Xin'ao Group and Guanghui Energy [4]