Xinyichang(SH:688383) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-08-10 07:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is a global leader in LED die-bonding equipment and is benefiting from the expansion of LED manufacturers and the penetration of Mini/Micro LED technologies. The company is also expanding into semiconductor and robotics businesses, which is expected to open up new revenue growth opportunities. The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 0.4/1.4/2.7 billion yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 196.0/53.1/27.8 [6][53]. Summary by Sections LED Market Recovery and Mini/Micro LED Penetration - The LED market is recovering, with a focus on expanding Mini/Micro LED production. In the first half of 2025, there were 56 disclosed LED display-related projects with a total investment exceeding 112 billion yuan. The Mini LED global market is expected to exceed 3 billion USD by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 40% from 2024 to 2028 [15][21]. Advanced Packaging and Robotics Business Expansion - The company is actively expanding its semiconductor die-bonding product line and has introduced new wire bonding and testing packaging equipment in 2025. The advanced packaging market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the demand for high-performance computing and AI chips. The global advanced packaging market is projected to reach 69.5 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of 11% from 2023 to 2029 [26][29]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 1.04 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.58 billion yuan in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 15.3%, 17.1%, and 25.7% respectively. The gross margin is expected to improve from 30.6% in 2023 to 37.1% in 2027 [9][50]. Robotics Market Growth - The global robotics market is expected to exceed 400 billion USD by 2029, with China accounting for nearly half of this market. The company has established a new subsidiary focused on robotics and AI development, leveraging its expertise in core components and software algorithms to enhance its competitive edge in the market [41][43].