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风电产业链周度跟踪(8月第2周)-20250810
Guoxin Securities·2025-08-10 07:56

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [1] Core Views - The offshore wind sector is expected to see significant project launches in Jiangsu and Guangdong in the first half of 2025, marking the beginning of a new era for national offshore wind development. The average annual installed capacity for offshore wind during the 14th Five-Year Plan is projected to exceed 20GW, significantly higher than the previous plan. Onshore wind installations are anticipated to reach a historical high of 100GW in 2025, with component manufacturers experiencing simultaneous volume and price increases, leading to substantial annual performance growth. The domestic manufacturing profitability of main engine companies is expected to recover in the third quarter as orders are delivered at increased prices, providing profit elasticity for Chinese wind turbine manufacturers in the coming years [4][5] Summary by Sections Industry News - Recent performance in the wind power sector has shown a divergence, with the top three performing segments being mooring systems (+8.2%), bearings (+6.1%), and castings (+0.8%). The top three individual stocks in terms of growth over the past two weeks are Wuzhou New Spring (+13.6%), Changsheng Bearings (+9.1%), and Yaxing Anchor Chain (+9.0%) [3] Market Data - As of 2025, the cumulative public bidding capacity for wind turbines nationwide is 45.9GW, with onshore wind turbine bidding capacity at 42.3GW and offshore wind turbine capacity at 3.7GW. The average winning bid price for onshore wind turbines (excluding towers) is 1,531 CNY/kW. In 2024, the total public bidding capacity is expected to reach 107.4GW, with a 61% year-on-year increase [7][8] Investment Recommendations - Three key investment directions are suggested: 1) Leading companies in export layouts for pipe piles and submarine cables; 2) Domestic main engine leaders with bottoming profits and accelerating exports; 3) Component manufacturers with opportunities for simultaneous volume and profit growth in 2025. Recommended companies include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Guoda Special Materials, Zhongji United, Daikin Heavy Industry, Riyue Co., Times New Materials, Hewei Electric, and Jinlei Co. [5]