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中国A股历史上第一次“系统性‘慢’牛”
ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-08-10 10:00

Group 1 - The report identifies that the A-share market is currently experiencing its first "systematic slow bull" since 2005, driven by improved risk appetite and declining risk-free interest rates, alongside China's rise and advantages [1][3][22] - The report outlines that since the initiation of the "924" policy in September 2024, the market has established a long-term bottom, leading to the commencement of the fifth bull market in April 2025 [2][15][19] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on "big finance + broad technology" sectors for investment, suggesting a "1+X" allocation strategy to enhance win rates [1][4][22] Group 2 - The report highlights that the historical context of A-share markets includes four previous bull markets, with the first three being "systematic bull markets" characterized by steep upward slopes, while the fourth was a "structural bull market" with a more gradual increase [2][13][14] - It notes that the current "slow bull" market is supported by four key factors: the stable appreciation of the RMB against the USD, positive technical trends, a favorable chip structure, and differentiated sector performance [4][22] - The report suggests that the current market environment is conducive to investments in innovative pharmaceuticals and renewable energy, which are expected to benefit from external advantages and improving market conditions [1][4][22]