Xiangcai Securities·2025-08-10 13:51Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [3][10][29] Core Viewpoints - The vaccine industry is experiencing significant innovation breakthroughs both domestically and internationally, with multiple companies achieving clinical trial approvals for new vaccines [2][6][10] - The industry is currently facing performance pressure due to supply-demand imbalances, with high competition leading to price declines for some products [10][29] - Long-term prospects remain positive, driven by policy support, increasing demand due to aging populations, and ongoing technological advancements in vaccine development [11][31] Summary by Sections Recent Developments - Watson Bio's mRNA vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) has received clinical trial approval, marking a significant step in domestic vaccine innovation [5][6] - The first phase trial of China's Tian Tan strain HIV vaccine has been successfully completed, indicating progress in HIV vaccine research [5][6] - Pfizer reported a 10% revenue growth in Q2 2025, exceeding market expectations, with significant contributions from its anticoagulant and COVID-19 products [5][6] Market Performance - The vaccine sector saw a slight decline of 0.44% last week, while the overall pharmaceutical sector dropped by 0.84% [7][8] - The vaccine industry has shown a cumulative increase of 0.96% since the beginning of 2025, indicating a recovery trend [7][8] Valuation Metrics - The vaccine sector's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 80.76X, with a recent decrease of 0.33X, while the price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 1.96X [9][10] - The PE ratio is within the 48.20% percentile since 2013, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to historical data [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong innovation capabilities and differentiated products, recommending companies like CanSino and Kanghua Bio [10][31] - The long-term outlook emphasizes the importance of innovation and international expansion as key drivers for growth in the vaccine industry [10][31]