反内卷拉动多少PPI？

Inflation Data Summary - July CPI year-on-year growth is 0%, exceeding the expected -0.1% and matching the previous month's 0.1%[1] - July CPI month-on-month growth is 0.4%, up from -0.1% in the previous month and down from 0.5% year-on-year[1] - Core CPI year-on-year growth is 0.8%, slightly above the previous value of 0.7%[1] PPI Analysis - July PPI year-on-year decline is -3.6%, worse than the expected -3.4% and unchanged from the previous month[1] - PPI month-on-month change is -0.2%, an improvement from -0.4% in the previous month[1] - The decline in PPI is primarily driven by weak demand, with upstream industry price declines narrowing more significantly[2] Sector Contributions - Service and industrial consumer goods support CPI growth, contributing over 60% to the total CPI increase[2] - Food prices decreased by 0.2%, underperforming compared to the seasonal average decline of 0.7%[2] - Upstream industries like coal mining and black metal smelting show reduced price declines, indicating some recovery in these sectors[3] Future Outlook - To achieve a positive year-on-year PPI by year-end, the average month-on-month growth over the next five months needs to reach at least 0.42%[3] - The "anti-involution" policy effects are beginning to show, but full transmission may take time[3] - The current inflation data suggests a moderate environment, supporting a loose monetary policy stance[3]