冠通期货资讯早间报-20250811

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - International precious metal futures generally closed higher, while oil prices declined due to OPEC's production increase. Base metals showed mixed performance. The financial market had various developments including corporate dividends, fund self - purchases, and investment strategies. Industries such as real estate, agriculture, and manufacturing also had significant events [2][27][34] - The report suggests focusing on five strong industrial trend industries in asset allocation and avoiding unclear capital relay trading [29] Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Trends - COMEX gold futures rose 0.13% to $3458.2 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 1.72%. COMEX silver futures rose 0.56% to $38.51 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 4.28%. The rise was due to policy concerns and increased market uncertainty [2] - U.S. oil and Brent crude oil futures declined. U.S. oil fell 0.83% to $63.35 per barrel, with a weekly decline of 5.91%. Brent crude fell 0.17% to $66.32 per barrel, with a weekly decline of 4.81%, affected by OPEC+ production increase [2] - London base metals showed mixed performance. LME copper, zinc, and aluminum rose, while nickel, lead, and tin declined slightly. The market was significantly affected by Fed policies and tariffs [2] Important Information Macroeconomic Information - The 8th - 2025 China (Zhengzhou) International Futures Forum will be held from August 19th to 20th [4] - Five futures exchanges issued程序化交易 management measures to strengthen supervision [4] - In July, national passenger car retail sales were 1.826 million, a year - on - year increase of 6.3%. The cumulative retail sales this year were 12.728 million, a year - on - year increase of 10.1% [5] - As of August 8th, the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index and the China Export Container Freight Index declined [5] - In July, the national CPI was flat year - on - year. The average CPI from January to July decreased by 0.1% compared to the same period last year [7] - Fed Governor Bowman supports interest rate cuts in the remaining three meetings this year [7] Energy and Chemical Futures - As of August 7th, PVC social inventory increased 7.49% month - on - month to 776,300 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 17.52% [9] - As of August 7th, the weekly output of Chinese styrene factories was 359,200 tons, a decrease of 0.64%. The capacity utilization rate was 77.73%, a decrease of 1.19% [9] Metal Futures - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange added two new registered brands for polysilicon futures [11] - Last week, the nickel ore inventory at 14 Chinese ports increased by 389,800 wet tons to 10.3334 million wet tons, an increase of 3.92% [13] - Last week, copper, zinc, nickel, and tin inventories at the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased, while aluminum and lead inventories decreased [14] - The mining end of Ningde Times' Jiaxiaowo Mine will stop production starting from August 10th with no short - term resumption plan [14] Black - Series Futures - Due to rainfall, 12 out of 21 Inner Mongolia power coal mines reduced production or stopped production, with a total capacity of 67.5 million tons. Nine open - pit mines will resume production on the evening of August 8th [16] - Last week, the capacity utilization rate of independent coke enterprises increased by 0.34% to 74.03%. Coke daily output increased, inventory decreased, and coking coal inventory decreased [16] - On August 8th, the blast furnace operating rate of 247 steel mills was 83.75%, a week - on - week increase of 0.29 percentage points. The profitability of steel mills increased by 3.03 percentage points [16] - The inventory of imported iron ore at 45 and 47 Chinese ports increased, and the daily handling volume increased [18] - Coke started the sixth round of price increase, with an increase of 50 - 55 yuan [18] - Last week, the inventory of 60 independent ferrosilicon enterprises increased by 9.42% to 71,700 tons, while the inventory of 63 independent ferromanganese enterprises decreased by 2,500 tons [19] Agricultural Futures - As of August 8th, the self - breeding and self - raising pig farming profit was 45.13 yuan per head, and the profit from purchasing piglets for farming was a loss of 134.14 yuan per head [21] - Due to the anti - dumping investigation on Canadian rapeseed, the domestic far - month rapeseed procurement progress is slow, and the supply may be tight in the later stage [21] - From August 2nd to 8th, the actual soybean crushing volume of oil mills was 2.1775 million tons, with an operating rate of 61.21%, 35,500 tons lower than expected [22] - In July, the FAO Food Price Index rose 1.6% to 130.1 points, reaching a two - year high [24] - From August 1st to 10th, Malaysia's palm oil exports were expected to be 482,576 tons, a 23.3% increase from the same period last month [25] Financial Market Finance - Nearly 50 A - share companies have disclosed mid - term dividend plans, with some companies having high - value dividends and high dividend yields [27] - The Hong Kong Investment Management Limited has invested in over 100 projects, and more than 10 companies are applying for listing in Hong Kong [27] - Southern Fund self - purchased three equity - based ETFs worth 230 million yuan. This year, nearly 130 public funds have self - purchased over 5 billion yuan [27] - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on five strong industrial trend industries and avoiding unclear capital relay trading [29] - CITIC Construction Investment believes that the short - term A - share market has upward resistance but is in a bull - market relay, and suggests paying attention to new low - position sub - sectors [29] - Southbound funds have a cumulative net inflow of over HK$900.8 billion this year, and Hong Kong stocks are considered a more inclusive capital haven [29] Industry - Beijing Yizhuang issued policies to support the development of embodied intelligent robots [32] - The Hubei Brain - Computer Interface Industry Innovation Development Alliance was established, and the first medical service price standard for brain - computer interfaces was released [34] - From January to July, real estate companies had over 50 executive changes, with a focus on the marketing department. Some companies are introducing composite talents [34] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will implement comprehensive regulation of pig production capacity and guide the reduction of about 1 million sows [34] - The first domestic shield/TBM big data mining community was established in Zhengzhou, and a vertical large - model was released [34] Overseas - U.S. Treasury Secretary believes Trump's tariff policy aims to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., and hopes the next Fed Chairman has "forward - looking thinking" [35] - The U.S. will stop providing tax credits for electric vehicles from September 30th. Electric vehicle sales may set a record in Q3 and decline in Q4 [35] - In 2024, Japan's population decreased by about 554,500, a decline of 0.44% [36] - The French government plans to save 4.2 billion euros from the national budget by canceling two public holidays in 2026 [36] International Stock Market - Jinglin Asset adjusted its U.S. stock holdings, adding technology stocks and clearing some positions [37] - The UK Competition and Markets Authority approved Boeing's acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems [37] Commodity - The gold futures price in the New York Mercantile Exchange hit a new high. "Interest - rate cut trading" and "Trump 2.0" will continue to catalyze the gold price [38] Bond - In the three months since the new policy on science and technology innovation bonds was implemented, the issuance scale reached 880.659 billion yuan, with a low average coupon rate [40] Foreign Exchange - Ten years after the "8·11 exchange - rate reform", the RMB exchange - rate marketization level has continuously improved, and two - way fluctuations have become the norm [41] Upcoming Economic Data and Events - Economic data such as Italy's July harmonized CPI annual rate final value, June trade balance, and Canada's national economic confidence index will be released [43] - There will be 54.48 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities in the Chinese central bank's open market. The revision plan of the Hang Seng Innovative Drug Index and related indices will be implemented [45] - The 2025 (Second) China Solid - State Battery Technology Industry Development Conference will be held from August 11th to 13th in Hangzhou. Hongyuan Co., Ltd. on the Beijing Stock Exchange will be available for subscription [45]