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聚酯数据日报-20250811
Guo Mao Qi Huo·2025-08-11 06:24

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The PTA market is waiting for the peace - talk information between the US and a European country. International oil prices are weak, and PTA has insufficient cost support. With a weak supply - demand structure, the PTA market declined slightly today. The PTA supply has shrunk, and port inventories have decreased. The spread between PX and naphtha has expanded, but alkyl transfer and TDP profit margins are not optimistic. PTA basis has weakened, and market replenishment willingness has declined [2] - The coal price has rebounded, driving up the ethylene glycol price. However, the macro - sentiment has weakened slightly, and the chemical industry has followed the weakening of bulk commodities. Overseas ethylene glycol plant maintenance, especially in Saudi Arabia, has been continuously postponed, which may significantly affect the market. The future arrival volume of ethylene glycol has decreased. Polyester production and sales have weakened, downstream weaving profits have shrunk, and terminal loads have significantly declined, which is a negative impact on the market [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Data - Crude Oil: INE crude oil price dropped from 501.0 yuan/barrel on August 7th to 489.8 yuan/barrel on August 8th, a decrease of 11.20 yuan/barrel [2] - PTA: The PTA - SC spread increased from 1047.2 yuan/ton to 1124.6 yuan/ton, a rise of 77.39 yuan/ton. The PTA/SC ratio increased from 1.2876 to 1.3159, an increase of 0.0283. The PTA main - contract futures price dropped from 4688 yuan/ton to 4684 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4.0 yuan/ton. The PTA spot price dropped from 4690 yuan/ton to 4670 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20.0 yuan/ton. The spot processing fee increased from 150.6 yuan/ton to 191.7 yuan/ton, a rise of 41.2 yuan/ton. The futures - based processing fee increased from 163.6 yuan/ton to 205.7 yuan/ton, a rise of 42.2 yuan/ton. The PTA main - contract basis increased from (20) to (18), an increase of 2.0. The PTA warehouse - receipt quantity remained unchanged at 33459 [2] - PX: CFR China PX price dropped from 840 to 831, a decrease of 9. The PX - naphtha spread increased from 259 to 261, an increase of 2 [2] - MEG: The MEG main - contract futures price dropped from 4396 yuan/ton to 4384 yuan/ton, a decrease of 12.0 yuan/ton. The MEG - naphtha spread increased from (90.51) yuan/ton to (89.70) yuan/ton, an increase of 0.8 yuan/ton. The MEG domestic price dropped from 4486 to 4465, a decrease of 21.0. The MEG main - contract basis decreased from 76 to 73, a decrease of 3.0 [2] 2. Industry Chain Operating Rates - PX operating rate remained unchanged at 78.11%. PTA operating rate dropped from 76.09% to 74.50%, a decrease of 1.59%. MEG operating rate remained unchanged at 58.15%. Polyester load remained unchanged at 87.09% [2] 3. Polyester Product Data - Polyester Filament: POY150D/48F price dropped from 6665 to 6660, a decrease of 5.0. POY cash flow increased from (98) to (79), an increase of 19.0. FDY150D/96F price dropped from 6965 to 6960, a decrease of 5.0. FDY cash flow increased from (298) to (279), an increase of 19.0. DTY150D/48F price dropped from 7910 to 7890, a decrease of 20.0. DTY cash flow increased from (23) to (49), an increase of 4.0. Polyester filament production and sales increased from 38% to 40%, an increase of 2% [2] - Polyester Staple Fiber: 1.4D direct - spun polyester staple fiber price remained unchanged at 6550. Polyester staple fiber cash flow increased from 137 to 161, an increase of 24.0. Polyester staple fiber production and sales increased from 46% to 57%, an increase of 11% [2] - Polyester Chips: Semi - bright chip price dropped from 5805 to 5795, a decrease of 10.0. Chip cash flow increased from (58) to (44), an increase of 14.0. Chip production and sales decreased from 92% to 89%, a decrease of 3% [2] 4. Device Maintenance - A 720 - million - ton PTA plant of a supplier in East China reduced its load to 80 - 90% last night, and the recovery time depends on raw - material logistics [2]