集装箱运输市场日报-20250811

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The prices of each monthly contract of the container shipping index (European Line) futures fluctuated first and then declined significantly near the close. Except for a slight rebound in the EC2508 contract, the prices of other monthly contracts decreased slightly. The decline was mainly due to the downward opening quotation of MSK's new - week European Line, leading to a downward re - valuation of the European index futures price. In the future, it is expected that the EC may continue to fluctuate and decline or maintain a fluctuating trend. In the medium term, without sudden event factors, the overall futures price trend may still be slightly downward [1]. - A.P. 穆勒 - 马士基集团 (Maersk) 2025 Q2 performance was strong, with revenue increasing by 2.8% year - on - year and EBIT reaching $845 million. The company raised its full - year 2025 financial guidance, benefiting from the strong terminal business, increased shipping volume in the shipping sector, enhanced profitability of the logistics and service business, and continuous optimization of operations and strict cost control in each business segment [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs EC Risk Management Strategy - Position Management: For those who have obtained positions but have full capacity or poor booking volume and are worried about falling freight rates (long position), to prevent losses, they can short the container shipping index futures according to the company's positions to lock in profits. The recommended hedging tool is EC2510, with a selling recommendation in the range of 1500 - 1600 [1]. - Cost Management: When the shipping company's blank - sailing intensity increases or the market peak season is approaching, and one hopes to book cabins according to the order situation (short position), to prevent the increase in transportation costs due to rising freight rates, one can buy the container shipping index futures at present to determine the cabin - booking cost in advance. The recommended hedging tool is EC2510, with a buying recommendation in the range of 1200 - 1300 [1]. Market Data - EC Basis and Price: On August 11, 2025, the basis of EC2508 was 155.48 points, with a daily decrease of 9.00 points and a weekly decrease of 20.08 points. The closing price of EC2508 was 2080.0 points, with a daily increase of 0.43% and a weekly decrease of 1.99%. Different contracts had different basis, price, and spread changes [4]. - Global Freight Index: SCFIS European Line decreased by 2.71% to 2235.48 points; SCFIS US - West Line decreased by 4.25% to 1082.14 points; SCFI European Line decreased by 4.39% to $1961/TEU; SCFI US - West Line decreased by 9.80% to $1823/FEU; XSI European Line decreased by 0.66% to $3291/FEU; XSI US - West Line decreased by 1.6% to $1979/FEU; FBX comprehensive freight index decreased by 2.69% to $2135/FEU [7]. - Container Shipping Quotes: On August 21, the total quotes for Maersk's 20GP and 40GP from Shanghai to Rotterdam increased compared to the previous period. On August 28, the opening quotes for 20GP and 40GP decreased compared to the previous week, with current quotes of $1335/TEU and $2230/FEU respectively [6]. Port and Shipping Data - Global Main Port Waiting Time: On August 10, 2025, compared with August 9, the waiting time at Hong Kong Port decreased by 0.437 days to 0.603 days; Shanghai Port increased by 0.234 days to 1.656 days; etc. Each port had different waiting - time changes [14]. - Shipping Speed and Waiting Ships in Suez Canal: On August 10, 2025, the average speed of 8000 + container ships was 16.035 knots, an increase of 0.042 knots compared to the previous day; the number of ships waiting at the Suez Canal port anchorage was 12, a decrease of 13 compared to the previous day [22].