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九洲药业(603456):经营业绩修复向好,CDMO业务稳健增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and the rating has been maintained [4][7]. Core Views - The company's operating performance is recovering positively, with a strong growth in CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) business [2][3]. - The company reported a revenue of 2.871 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.86%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 526 million yuan, up 10.70% year-on-year [2]. - The cash flow from operating activities showed significant improvement, reaching 845 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 164.50% [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.871 billion yuan, with CDMO business sales revenue at 2.291 billion yuan, growing 16.27% year-on-year [2][3]. - The API (Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient) and intermediate business revenue was 523 million yuan, down 28.48% year-on-year, but the gross margin improved by 2.07 percentage points to 23.26% [2][6]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to the parent company of 933 million yuan in 2025, with an EPS of 0.97 yuan per share [7]. Business Development - The CDMO project pipeline continues to expand, with new customer acquisitions progressing smoothly [3][5]. - As of June 30, 2025, the company has 38 launched projects and 1,086 projects in clinical phases, showing significant growth compared to 2024 [3]. - The TIDES division and related technology platforms are rapidly developing, with plans for capacity expansion to meet increasing demand [5]. Market Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growth in the global market for peptides and conjugated drugs, with expectations for continued project acquisition [5]. - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is 933 million, 1.076 billion, and 1.156 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7].