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电力设备新能源行业周报:“强预期”注入,产业链价格企稳-20250812
Guoyuan Securities·2025-08-12 03:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the photovoltaic and wind power sectors, indicating a positive outlook for these industries in the near to medium term [4][5]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry is undergoing a "de-involution" movement at the national strategic level, focusing on capacity integration in the silicon material segment and strengthening price regulation across the supply chain. The industry is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with future policy strength being a key variable influencing its trajectory. In the medium to long term, the photovoltaic sector is expected to enter a phase of high-quality development, with technological upgrades and market structure optimization becoming core competitive factors [4]. - The wind power sector in China has a strong global competitive advantage, with a relatively reasonable supply-demand structure and robust profitability among companies. The year 2025 is anticipated to be a significant year for offshore wind power development in China, with accelerated construction and favorable export trends [4]. Weekly Market Review - From August 4 to August 8, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.25% and 0.49%, respectively. The Shenwan Electric Power Equipment Index rose by 1.94%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.71 percentage points. Within sub-sectors, photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment experienced changes of +1.29%, +4.50%, +0.99%, and +3.08%, respectively [12][18]. Key Sector Tracking - Photovoltaic Sector: The report highlights a significant project where JA Solar is the candidate for a 50MW photovoltaic component procurement project in Tibet, with a bid amount of approximately 36 million CNY and a unit price of 0.7215 CNY/W [3][21]. - Wind Power Sector: The report emphasizes the strong profitability of domestic wind power companies in the first half of the year and suggests focusing on leading companies such as Goldwind Technology and Dongfang Cable [4]. Investment Recommendations - Photovoltaic: Focus on segments that have undergone sufficient corrections, such as silicon materials, glass, and battery cells. Recommended companies include Aiko Solar, Flat Glass Group, GCL-Poly Energy, and Junda Technology [4]. - Wind Power: Maintain a positive outlook on the domestic wind power supply chain, with recommendations for companies like Goldwind Technology and Zhongtian Technology [4]. - New Energy Vehicles: The sector continues to grow rapidly, with recommendations to focus on battery and structural components benefiting from low upstream raw material prices, including companies like CATL and EVE Energy [5]. Industry Price Data - The report includes price trends for key materials in the photovoltaic supply chain, indicating fluctuations in silicon material, battery cell, and module prices, which are critical for assessing market dynamics [35][36][38].