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建筑材料行业周报(25/08/04-25/08/10):“反内卷”为盾,“电子布”为矛-20250812
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-08-12 05:57

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights the initiation of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway project, which is expected to benefit leading cement companies in Xinjiang due to their established supply capabilities [5] - The demand for high-end electronic fabrics is anticipated to grow significantly, driven by advancements in AI and hardware performance requirements, with a particular focus on Low-DK and Low-CTE electronic fabrics [5] - The report suggests that 2025 will be a turning point for listed companies, while 2026 will mark an industry turning point, indicating a potential recovery in the sector [5] Section Summaries 1. Sector Tracking - The construction materials index rose by 1.2%, with cement and decoration materials showing positive trends, while glass fiber declined [9] - Notable stock performances included Tianshan Cement (+10.9%) and Guotong Shares (+10.6%), while Han Jian Heshan (-13.3%) and Xizang Tianlu (-10.1%) faced declines [9] 2. Data Tracking 2.1 Cement - The average price of 42.5 cement nationwide is 339.7 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but down 42.5 RMB/ton year-on-year [17] - The cement inventory ratio is 67.4%, showing a slight increase [17] - The cement shipment rate is 43.7%, reflecting a decrease compared to previous periods [17] 2.2 Float Glass - The average price of 5mm float glass is 1327.0 RMB/ton, down 31.4 RMB/ton month-on-month and 219.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [37] - Inventory levels for major producers decreased by 2.9% [37] 2.3 Photovoltaic Glass - The average price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass is 10.9 RMB/sqm, with a slight increase month-on-month [42] - The production capacity for photovoltaic glass remains stable, but year-on-year production has decreased by 16.7% [42] 2.4 Glass Fiber - The average price for alkali-free glass fiber yarn is 4585.0 RMB/ton, unchanged month-on-month but down 45.0 RMB/ton year-on-year [49] 2.5 Carbon Fiber - The average price for large tow carbon fiber is 72.5 RMB/kg, with a year-on-year decrease of 5.0 RMB/kg [52] - The average operating rate for carbon fiber companies is 61.49%, showing an increase compared to previous periods [52] 3. Industry Dynamics - Recent policy changes in Beijing aim to optimize housing purchase conditions, potentially stimulating demand in the construction materials sector [16] - The report notes a decline in the supply of new residential properties in major cities, indicating a tightening market [16]