MTM(SH:688029) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-08-12 07:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [4][19]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.565 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.36%, and a net profit of 363 million yuan, up 17.04% year-on-year. The growth was driven by accelerated overseas market expansion and favorable foreign exchange gains [6]. - The overseas business has shown significant growth, with revenue from international markets reaching 899 million yuan, a 45% increase year-on-year, accounting for 58% of total revenue [6]. - The company is actively pursuing product innovation, establishing a second growth curve with visual products, and has made progress in various innovative projects [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company reported revenue of 2,411 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22%. The projected revenue for 2024A is 2,755 million yuan, with a growth rate of 14% [4]. - The net profit for 2023A was 486 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 47%. The forecast for 2024A is 553 million yuan, reflecting a 14% growth [4]. - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 64.89%, down 3.04 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 24.26%, showing a slight increase of 0.27 percentage points [6]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company expects revenue to reach 3.313 billion yuan in 2025E, with a growth rate of 20.2%, and net profit to be 641 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 15.9% [4][6]. - For the years 2026E and 2027E, revenue is projected to be 3.939 billion yuan and 4.762 billion yuan, with growth rates of 18.9% and 20.9% respectively. Net profit is expected to be 780 million yuan and 968 million yuan, with growth rates of 21.7% and 24.1% respectively [4][6].