Dongguan Securities·2025-08-12 07:38Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [6]. Core Insights - In July 2025, the production and sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) continued to show rapid year-on-year growth, with production and sales reaching 1.243 million and 1.262 million units, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 26.3% and 27.4% [4]. - The penetration rate of NEVs reached 48.7% in July, up 2.9 percentage points from the previous month, while the cumulative penetration rate for January to July was 45% [4]. - The total battery production in July was 133.8 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 44.3%, while battery sales were 127.2 GWh, showing a year-on-year increase of 47.8% [4]. - The demand for power batteries is expected to recover as the traditional peak season for NEVs approaches, driven by the continuous development of renewable energy and the increasing demand for energy storage [4]. Summary by Sections New Energy Vehicle Market - In July 2025, NEV sales reached 1.262 million units, a year-on-year increase of 27.4%, while the cumulative sales from January to July were 8.232 million units, up 39.2% year-on-year [4]. - Pure electric vehicle sales in July were 811,000 units, up 47.1% year-on-year, while plug-in hybrid sales were 451,000 units, up 2.8% year-on-year [4]. Battery Production and Sales - In July, the total battery production was 133.8 GWh, with a month-on-month increase of 3.6% and a year-on-year increase of 44.3% [4]. - Power battery sales accounted for 91.1 GWh, representing 71.6% of total sales, with a year-on-year growth of 45.8% [4]. Export and Market Dynamics - In July, the total battery exports were 23.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, with power battery exports at 14.8 GWh, up 48.4% year-on-year [4]. - The report highlights the potential for price increases in lithium carbonate due to supply expectations and the ongoing development of solid-state battery technology [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the battery and materials sectors that have technological and production advantages, particularly in solid-state electrolytes and new electrode materials [4]. - Key companies to watch include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others that are actively involved in the solid-state battery supply chain [4].