Lexin(US:LX) BOCOM International·2025-08-12 07:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Lexin Group (LX US), with a target price of $11.80, indicating a potential upside of 84.1% from the current price of $6.41 [1][2][9]. Core Insights - The company's profitability is on a continuous improvement path, driven by a decrease in provisioning costs and an increase in technology-enabled revenue [5]. - The net profit for Q2 2025 reached 511 million RMB, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 126% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19% [5]. - The report highlights the company's strong performance in the e-commerce sector, with transaction amounts significantly increasing year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [5]. - Shareholder returns are expected to improve, with a dividend payout ratio increasing from 25% in the first half of 2025 to 30% in the second half [5]. - The asset quality is showing a positive trend, with a decrease in the overdue rate [5]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for Lexin Group are as follows: 13,057 million RMB in 2023, 14,204 million RMB in 2024, and an estimated 13,871 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.3% in 2023 and a decline of 2.3% in 2025 [4][13]. - The net profit is projected to be 2,008 million RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 82.4% [5][8]. - The company's price-to-earnings ratio is expected to be below 4 times in 2025, indicating an attractive valuation [5]. - The report anticipates a net take rate improvement, with projections of 1.88% for 2025 and 2.47% for 2026 [8]. Market Performance - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 10.52% and has a market capitalization of approximately 849.90 million USD [4]. - The stock's 52-week high and low are 11.43 USD and 1.63 USD, respectively, indicating significant volatility and potential for growth [4]. Conclusion - The report concludes that Lexin Group's improving profitability, strong revenue growth in technology-enabled services, and attractive valuation make it a compelling investment opportunity [5][8].