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行业周报:山东省正式出台136号文配套细则,煤炭价格持续回升-20250812
Great Wall Securities·2025-08-12 07:56

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the power and utilities sector, indicating expectations for the sector to perform better than the market in the next six months [6]. Core Views - The report highlights the recent implementation of supporting details for Document No. 136 in Shandong Province, which is expected to stabilize the industry outlook. Additionally, coal prices are on the rise, which may impact profitability positively [1][3]. - The report notes that the public utilities sector index has shown a slight increase in valuation, with a PE ratio of 17.51x as of August 8, 2025, compared to 17.35x the previous week [1][22]. - The report emphasizes the growth in photovoltaic capacity, with an addition of 211.61 GW in the first half of 2025, indicating a strong trend in renewable energy development [34]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The public utilities sector index increased by 1.61% during the week of August 4-10, 2025, ranking 22nd among 31 sectors [2][10]. - The performance of sub-sectors varied, with thermal power generation up by 2.88% and hydropower down by 0.56% [2][10]. 2. Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration reported that the top five provinces for new photovoltaic installations in the first half of 2025 were Jiangsu (22.07 GW), Xinjiang (19.6 GW), Guangdong (15.59 GW), Shandong (15.05 GW), and Yunnan (13.61 GW) [34]. - Shandong's new energy pricing mechanism has set a bidding upper limit of 0.35 CNY/kWh for both wind and solar power, with lower limits established as well [35]. 3. Key Data Tracking - As of August 8, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) was 678 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3.51% [39]. - The report tracked green certificate trading, with a total of 15.38 and 13.68 thousand transactions for wind and solar power respectively during the week of August 4-10, 2025 [43].