瑞达期货生猪产业日报-20250812

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The supply of live pigs has increased recently due to the accelerated rhythm of weight - reducing sales by the breeding side, while the demand has slightly recovered with the increase in the slaughterhouse's operating rate, but the high temperature still restricts the increase. It is expected that the demand will improve significantly during the upcoming student enrollment and double - festival stocking periods. The spot price of live pigs runs steadily and slightly weakly, but the long - term supply pressure is expected to decrease marginally due to capacity policies, and the futures price of the live pig 2511 contract is stronger than the spot price, showing a volatile and slightly stronger trend. It is recommended to try long positions on dips [2]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Disk - The closing price of the main futures contract for live pigs is 14,230 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan; the main contract's open interest is 60,882 lots, down 1,419 lots; the number of warehouse receipts is 410 lots, up 410 lots; the net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 19,292 lots, up 2 lots [2]. 3.2 Spot Price - The live pig price in Henan Zhumadian is 13,600 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Jilin Siping is 13,200 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan; in Guangdong Yunfu is 15,300 yuan/ton, unchanged. The main live pig basis is - 630 yuan/ton, down 90 yuan [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The live pig inventory is 42,4470,000 heads, up 7160,000 heads; the inventory of breeding sows is 4,0430,000 heads, up 10,000 heads [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The year - on - year change of CPI is 0%, down 0.1 percentage points; the spot price of soybean meal in Zhangjiagang is 2,940 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan; the spot price of corn is 2,394.12 yuan/ton, down 0.78 yuan; the Dalian Commodity Exchange's pig feed cost index is 931.74, up 1.06; the monthly output of feed is 29,377,000 tons, up 1,756,000 tons; the price of binary breeding sows is 1,638 yuan/head, unchanged; the breeding profit of purchased piglets is - 134.14 yuan/head, down 17.36 yuan; the breeding profit of self - bred and self - raised live pigs is 45.13 yuan/head, up 1.28 yuan; the monthly import volume of pork is 90,000 tons, unchanged; the average price of white - striped chickens in the main producing areas is 13.9 yuan/kg, up 0.2 yuan [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The slaughter volume of designated live pig slaughtering enterprises is 3,0060,000 heads, down 2100,000 heads; the monthly value of catering revenue in total social consumer goods retail sales is 470.76 billion yuan, up 12.94 billion yuan [2]. 3.6 Industry News - On August 12, 2025, the daily national live pig slaughter volume of key breeding enterprises was 277,425 heads, up 0.56% from the previous day; on Tuesday, the live pig 2511 contract closed up 0.21% [2].