Changjiang Securities·2025-08-12 08:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [10] Core Insights - The communication sector saw a 1.57% increase in the 32nd week of 2025, ranking 22nd among major industries, and a 22.42% increase since the beginning of the year, ranking 4th [2][5] - The release of GPT-5 and Genie 3 has significantly boosted AI commercialization metrics, leading to increased infrastructure investments [6] - The trend towards Scale-up architecture is confirmed, with multi-mode fiber technology upgrades driving demand for optical interconnects and high-speed optical modules [7] Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 32nd week of 2025, the communication sector increased by 1.57%, ranking 22nd among major industries; since the start of the year, it has risen by 22.42%, ranking 4th [2][5] - Notable stock performances include Kesi Technology (+22.3%), Dongxin Peace (+17.1%), and Qiyi Er (+16.9%) for gains, while Tianfu Communication (-6.7%), Yingstone Network (-4.3%), and Lian Te Technology (-3.5%) faced declines [5] AI Commercialization - OpenAI's GPT-5 integrates rapid response and deep reasoning, enhancing multi-modal capabilities and reducing factual errors significantly; ChatGPT's weekly active users approach 700 million, a year-on-year increase of over 400% [6] - The annual recurring revenue (ARR) for AI applications has risen to approximately $13 billion, with expectations to exceed $20 billion by year-end [6] Optical Interconnect and Fiber Technology - The shift from Scale-out to Scale-up architecture is driving high-density interconnect demand; domestic leaders are accelerating multi-mode fiber production [7] - Companies like FiberHome are targeting an annual production capacity of 4 million core kilometers by 2026, while Hengtong Optics is expanding its advanced fiber materials R&D center [7] Investment Recommendations - Recommended operators include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom [8] - For optical modules, key recommendations are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and Shijia Photon, with a focus on Tai Chen Guang and Yuan Jie Technology [8] - In the domestic computing sector, recommended companies include FiberHome, Huafeng Technology, and ZTE Corporation [8] - AI application recommendations include Heertai, Tuobang Technology, and Meige Intelligent [8] - For satellite applications, recommended companies are Haige Communication and Huace Navigation [8]